@Xavwv

#2,844,4301

0x492f7c119b63a367b1b7289fe37f4f44aa6f8144

~37d· 39 markets · 617 tradesVol: $393,7282026-08-05 16:38:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (8/31)0/20
0.20x (win $1,505 / loss $7,398)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.1750/15
Sortino -9.5240/10
$-0.5581 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7298 (31 markets)0/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,893 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,549$-339Vol: $264,156
💰 FINANCE#37,810$23Vol: $125,192
📈 ECONOMICS#663,528$-123Vol: $3,240
📢 MENTIONS#30,687$3Vol: $119

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-481
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$393,728
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
137B / 480S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-226
Vol: $180
Week
$-1,027
Vol: $7,046
Month
$-1,630
Vol: $8,898
All Time
$-481
Vol: $393,728

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
8W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-481
Win Rate
26%
8W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$188
Avg Loss
$-336

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,386 (2.880836121096266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$947
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$354
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$85
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$25
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$23
Will Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?$6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$-1,603
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-1,349
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$-966
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-898
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$-773
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-386
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$-284
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-258
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-230
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.517
Sortino
-0.596
HHI
787
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.589
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
55.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1256s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)35%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 7:28:04 PM12 trades$105,0200 min
6/16/2026, 3:14:20 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/16/2026, 7:45:43 PM12 trades$15,0000 min
7/22/2026, 8:34:28 AM31 trades$11,6179 min
6/16/2026, 5:28:26 PM2 trades$7,1430 min
6/29/2026, 11:27:59 AM5 trades$5,1670 min
7/30/2026, 7:34:32 PM4 trades$4,5780 min
7/25/2026, 7:26:52 AM3 trades$3,0120 min
7/22/2026, 10:06:40 AM8 trades$2,6550 min
7/25/2026, 7:15:42 AM26 trades$2,4794 min
7/22/2026, 8:28:27 AM21 trades$2,3401 min
6/16/2026, 6:17:19 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/17/2026, 11:26:12 AM9 trades$1,7950 min
7/26/2026, 12:53:18 PM7 trades$1,5851 min
7/23/2026, 11:36:06 AM5 trades$1,4350 min
8/2/2026, 5:33:57 PM9 trades$1,4131 min
7/21/2026, 11:25:03 AM14 trades$1,3731 min
7/26/2026, 11:12:40 PM29 trades$1,3328 min
7/29/2026, 6:43:17 PM29 trades$1,2630 min
7/24/2026, 2:07:04 PM6 trades$1,1560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-20
06-22
06-25
06-29
07-13
07-22
07-26
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.7 / M18.2 / H35