Polydata
YatSen

@YatSen

#4291

0x5bffcf561bcae83af680ad600cb99f1184d6ffbe

709d· 702 markets · 20061 tradesVol: $342,323,925 @HarveyMackinto22026-05-20T15:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 80%20/20
Profit Factor 14.66x15/15
Sharpe 0.2946/15
Sortino 6.56610/10
EV $+5.31410/10
HHI 35910/10
Profit Days 79%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

YatSen is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the #42 position on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $2.31 million. Over 924 days, YatSen has completed more than 20,000 trades across 259 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $342 million. Their elite Smart Score of 91/100 reflects consistent performance, though the profit factor of 0.36 and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.29 suggest moderate risk-adjusted returns.

YatSen’s trading strategy appears diversified, with no exposure to weather markets and a preference for a broad range of event types. The trader exhibits a balanced risk profile, evidenced by a 50.5% win rate and a low max drawdown duration of zero days, indicating effective risk control. The 36% sell rate and badges like “DCA Master” and “Sniper” hint at a disciplined approach combining averaging techniques with precise entry timing. YatSen’s semi-automated trading style, reflected in a bot score of 45/100, suggests a mix of manual and algorithmic decision-making.

Key strengths for YatSen include high trade volume, stable equity trends, and a strong track record of profitability on Polymarket. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio point to potential challenges in maximizing returns relative to risk. Additionally, the flat equity trend may indicate limited growth momentum, warranting attention to future market adaptability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+2,312,545
DCA Master
avg 50.4 entries/market
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Whale
$53,115,512
Consistent
100/126 days
High Roller
$57,484/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#21$1,774,978Vol: $285,518,871
📈 ECONOMICS#8$334,961Vol: $23,536,582
🎭 CULTURE#780,701$-4,202Vol: $13,240,212
SPORTS#1,657,187$-56,509Vol: $13,018,542
CRYPTO#127$191,604Vol: $5,073,431
💰 FINANCE#93$34,875Vol: $640,965
📢 MENTIONS#50$37,319Vol: $576,104
💻 TECH#232,639$-2,555Vol: $418,426
🌤️ WEATHER#584$2,528Vol: $48,964

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,312,545
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$342,323,925
Total Redeem
$2,838,909
Portfolio
$1,705,566
Predictions
702
total markets
Trades
12901B / 7160S
Daily Volume
$57,484
Account Age
709d
since Jun 10, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,602
Vol: $0
Week
$-7,998
Vol: $0
Month
$10,052
Vol: $567,527
All Time
$2,312,545
Vol: $342,323,925

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
188W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$11,214,826
Win Rate
51%
96W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$128,664
Avg Loss
$-368,437

Top Winners

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$8,801,035
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs$838,351
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$749,844
Will Biden finish his term?$514,369
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$419,161
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$121,166
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$105,497
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Pre$104,247
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$97,309
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$92,808

Top Losers

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-5,076,265
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,733,314
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-2,653,080
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-2,620,028
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,915,180
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$-1,821,648
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeti$-1,660,450
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$-1,627,085
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-1,580,721
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,499,985

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.294
Sortino
6.566
HHI
359
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.314
Kelly %
21.3%
Half-Kelly
10.6%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
33.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — typical for humanSize CV 6.12 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness29 trades/day — suspiciously high325 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
58 entries
<=2
83 entries
<=5
121 entries
<=10
157 entries
<=20
184 entries
<=50
210 entries
>50
46 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)56.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46%

Warsh$833
Miami$394
Houston$19
Madrid$0
New York City$-572,798
Other$-21,709,756

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
193

Single bracket

<=1
147 brackets
<=2
181 brackets
<=3
188 brackets
<=4
191 brackets
<=5
192 brackets
<=8
193 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/14/2024, 9:55:15 PM1 trades$6,7660 min
6/15/2024, 12:27:10 AM1 trades$6,7660 min
6/20/2024, 2:27:41 AM1 trades$700 min
6/20/2024, 2:44:53 AM1 trades$720 min
6/24/2024, 9:43:12 PM1 trades$30 min
6/26/2024, 3:21:56 PM2 trades$1,3870 min
6/26/2024, 4:59:06 PM1 trades$3180 min
6/27/2024, 9:09:51 AM1 trades$30 min
6/27/2024, 9:44:15 AM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2024, 11:36:19 AM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2024, 12:47:27 PM1 trades$120 min
6/27/2024, 1:07:11 PM1 trades$2,6000 min
6/27/2024, 2:49:53 PM1 trades$1580 min
6/27/2024, 2:58:59 PM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2024, 4:07:43 PM1 trades$590 min
6/27/2024, 5:25:21 PM2 trades$231 min
6/27/2024, 6:01:15 PM2 trades$124 min
6/27/2024, 6:12:29 PM1 trades$2,9430 min
6/30/2024, 1:53:02 PM1 trades$4,7850 min
7/2/2024, 2:47:10 PM1 trades$1,9980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
08-18
10-27
09-30
01-01
04-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event