Polydata
Data is 4 days old — refreshing in background...

@YatSen

#5791

0x5bffcf561bcae83af680ad600cb99f1184d6ffbe

~924d· 704 markets · 20490 tradesVol: $344,593,9832026-06-29T07:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 81%20/20
Profit Factor 14.83x15/15
Sharpe 0.2986/15
Sortino 6.51810/10
EV $+21.38410/10
HHI 37310/10
Profit Days 81%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

YatSen is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #57 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $2.35 million. Over 924 days, YatSen has executed more than 20,000 trades across 259 markets, accumulating a total volume of $344 million. Despite the high volume and activity, YatSen currently holds no open portfolio value and maintains a consistent equity trend, reflecting steady performance. The trader’s Smart Score of 91/100 places them in the elite category.

YatSen’s trading style is characterized by a mix of manual and automated strategies, as indicated by a semi-bot score of 45/100. They appear to engage in a broad range of markets but avoid weather-related markets entirely. With a win rate just under 50% and a profit factor of 0.39, YatSen seems to take on moderate risk, using techniques like dollar-cost averaging and a significant sell percentage of 37%. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.30 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns, while quick recovery from drawdowns points to disciplined risk management.

Key strengths for YatSen include their sniper-like precision and ability to maintain profitability over a large number of trades, supported by badges such as Profitable and Whale. Their long active period and stable equity trend indicate resilience in varying market conditions. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about the efficiency of capital use and risk-reward balance. YatSen’s semi-automated approach may also introduce variability depending on bot performance and manual intervention.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+2,358,021
DCA Master
avg 50.4 entries/market
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
Whale
$52,036,295
Consistent
100/124 days
High Roller
$56,316/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#22$1,788,869Vol: $286,959,078
📈 ECONOMICS#8$334,961Vol: $23,536,582
🎭 CULTURE#801,116$-4,202Vol: $13,684,515
SPORTS#1,435$37,639Vol: $11,504,646
CRYPTO#135$190,634Vol: $5,125,928
💰 FINANCE#105$34,755Vol: $665,138
📢 MENTIONS#51$37,319Vol: $576,104
💻 TECH#243,833$-2,555Vol: $418,426
🌤️ WEATHER#699$2,498Vol: $93,408

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,358,021
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$344,593,983
Total Redeem
$2,916,909
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
704
total markets
Trades
12915B / 7575S
Daily Volume
$56,316
Account Age
~924d

Periods

#2
Month
$3,602
Vol: $2,112,200
All Time
$2,358,021
Vol: $344,593,983

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
182W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$11,438,140
Win Rate
49%
99W / 103L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$133,929
Avg Loss
$-329,642

Top Winners

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$9,637,111
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs$838,351
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$749,844
Will Biden finish his term?$514,369
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$419,161
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$121,166
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$105,497
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Pre$104,247
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$97,309
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$92,808

Top Losers

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-5,076,265
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,733,314
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-2,653,080
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-2,620,028
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,915,180
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$-1,821,648
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeti$-1,660,450
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$-1,627,085
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-1,580,721
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,499,985

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.298
Sortino
6.518
HHI
373
Diversified
EV per $1
$21.384
Kelly %
19.9%
Half-Kelly
10.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
34%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.0m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — typical for humanSize CV 6.20 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high312 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
59 entries
<=2
84 entries
<=5
121 entries
<=10
155 entries
<=20
183 entries
<=50
210 entries
>50
46 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)34.4%
High (>55c)56.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.1%

Warsh$833
Miami$394
Houston$19
Madrid$0
New York City$-572,798
Other$-20,122,646

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
193

Single bracket

<=1
146 brackets
<=2
181 brackets
<=3
188 brackets
<=4
192 brackets
<=5
192 brackets
<=8
193 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/14/2024, 9:55:15 PM1 trades$6,7660 min
6/15/2024, 12:27:10 AM1 trades$6,7660 min
6/20/2024, 2:27:41 AM1 trades$700 min
6/20/2024, 2:44:53 AM1 trades$720 min
6/24/2024, 9:43:12 PM1 trades$30 min
6/26/2024, 3:21:56 PM2 trades$1,3870 min
6/26/2024, 4:59:06 PM1 trades$3180 min
6/27/2024, 9:09:51 AM1 trades$30 min
6/27/2024, 9:44:15 AM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2024, 11:36:19 AM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2024, 12:47:27 PM1 trades$120 min
6/27/2024, 1:07:11 PM1 trades$2,6000 min
6/27/2024, 2:49:53 PM1 trades$1580 min
6/27/2024, 2:58:59 PM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2024, 4:07:43 PM1 trades$590 min
6/27/2024, 5:25:21 PM2 trades$231 min
6/27/2024, 6:01:15 PM2 trades$124 min
6/27/2024, 6:12:29 PM1 trades$2,9430 min
6/30/2024, 1:53:02 PM1 trades$4,7850 min
7/2/2024, 2:47:10 PM1 trades$1,9980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
08-11
09-30
06-30
12-10
03-31
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event