ZePeba

@ZePeba

#97,28835

0xbc3ab7bbcf62e316d05bb662ed81f20ae23ee3bc

~23d· 52 markets · 243 tradesVol: $17,7002026-08-04 18:54:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (27/43)16.4/20
0.61x (win $2,643 / loss $4,307)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8920/15
Sortino -1.9410/10
$-0.1753 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 870 (43 markets)8.2/10
15/19 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($3,752 / $2,088)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+719
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Consistent
15/19 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

7
SPORTS#83,419$223Vol: $6,630
🏛️ POLITICS#1,547,655$-150Vol: $5,235
📈 ECONOMICS#4,668$509Vol: $2,111
💰 FINANCE#22,326$68Vol: $1,508
🎭 CULTURE#44,314$25Vol: $739
CRYPTO#415,461$1Vol: $116
💻 TECH#8,850$47Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$716
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,700
Total Redeem
$68
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
113B / 130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$716
Vol: $17,700

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
27W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$719
Win Rate
63%
27W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-269

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,364 (1.896273749461424% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$745
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$372
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$247
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$219
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$148
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$133
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$94
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$82
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,752
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-264
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-107
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?$-50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-40
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-20
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-20
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-19?$-20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-10
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.096
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
965
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.164
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
57.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.6%
Mid (20-55c)29.2%
High (>55c)52.2%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 4:14:10 AM22 trades$1,8905 min
6/23/2026, 1:04:25 PM15 trades$1,5782 min
4/19/2026, 6:48:46 PM22 trades$1,1799 min
6/18/2026, 10:18:02 AM2 trades$1,1240 min
4/21/2026, 1:08:34 AM29 trades$1,09810 min
7/20/2026, 2:15:19 PM2 trades$8200 min
5/8/2026, 6:27:07 PM5 trades$6491 min
6/5/2026, 1:36:19 AM7 trades$5910 min
4/27/2026, 2:48:40 AM7 trades$4800 min
6/10/2026, 4:53:42 PM12 trades$4361 min
7/2/2026, 10:34:38 AM2 trades$4100 min
6/2/2026, 8:47:34 PM6 trades$3443 min
6/17/2026, 2:41:40 AM14 trades$3382 min
4/21/2026, 1:25:12 AM2 trades$2990 min
6/22/2026, 12:39:22 PM4 trades$2881 min
4/27/2026, 2:30:36 AM2 trades$2860 min
4/19/2026, 7:16:06 PM8 trades$2764 min
6/17/2026, 2:50:21 AM2 trades$2460 min
5/25/2026, 12:33:36 PM2 trades$2090 min
5/15/2026, 8:57:19 PM3 trades$2080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
05-01
05-15
06-10
06-17
06-22
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.6 / M29.2 / H52.2