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@a74afd70

#6,177100

0xa74afd70c4c383bf45fee0f342502ac405c64893

~64d· 4095 markets · 34657 tradesVol: $6,223,3802026-05-15T22:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 70%20/20
Profit Factor 7.96x15/15
Sharpe 0.97015/15
Sortino 107.86410/10
EV $+6.61010/10
HHI 4010/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader a74afd70 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, with 34,657 trades across 977 markets in just 64 days. Ranked #6177 on the global PnL leaderboard, the trader has achieved a net profit of $20,789.76 on a total volume exceeding $6.2 million. Despite a modest portfolio value of $628.63, their smart score of 100/100 indicates elite trading skill and consistent performance. The Sharpe ratio of 0.97 suggests a reasonable risk-adjusted return, while the absence of drawdown duration points to effective risk management.

The trading style of a74afd70 appears to favor high-frequency, short-duration trades, as seen in their large volume and trade count relative to days active. Their win rate is 35.4%, with a low profit factor of 0.01, implying they may take contrarian or high-risk positions that pay off selectively. The trader holds a "Diamond Hands" badge and a 0% sell rate, indicating a tendency to maintain positions rather than exiting early. Their "Sniper" and "Contrarian" badges suggest a focus on precise entry points and betting against prevailing trends.

Key strengths of a74afd70 include elite trading skills and an ability to sustain stable equity without significant drawdowns. Their high activity and diverse market exposure on Polymarket provide broad opportunities for profit. However, the low profit factor and win rate raise potential concerns about the consistency and riskiness of their approach. The semi-bot score indicates a mix of automated and manual strategies, which could either enhance efficiency or introduce complexity in execution.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+20,790
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$1,105,099
Consistent
55/60 days
High Roller
$17,267/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
SPORTS#2,214$20,790Vol: $6,223,380

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,790
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,223,380
Total Redeem
$2,000
Portfolio
$629
Predictions
4095
total markets
Trades
34657B / 0S
Daily Volume
$17,267
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$-660
Vol: $103,574
Week
$-1,875
Vol: $800,763
Month
$5,925
Vol: $1,647,219
All Time
$20,790
Vol: $6,223,380

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
72%
751W / 298L events
Realized PnL
$249,066
Win Rate
35%
39W / 71L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-1,370

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Play$134
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs$104
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$65
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT Sou$63
Counter-Strike: Brute vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe $34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner$24
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$18
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$13
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner$11
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner$11

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-17,147
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-11,732
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Grou$-8,126
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group $-8,033
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-7,154
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs$-6,012
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger$-5,398
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prag$-4,568
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Divisi$-4,351
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-4,225

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.970
Sortino
107.864
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.610
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
617.7
Very active
Markets / Day
17.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 1.60 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness618 trades/day — automation17 markets/day — mass coverage1186 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
33 entries
<=2
56 entries
<=5
137 entries
<=10
252 entries
<=20
457 entries
<=50
755 entries
>50
222 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)47.2%
High (>55c)39.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Paris$-367
Atlanta$-25,273
Other$-71,060

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
852

Single bracket

<=1
763 brackets
<=2
819 brackets
<=3
850 brackets
<=4
851 brackets
<=5
852 brackets
<=8
852 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 1:53:37 PM1 trades$40 min
3/20/2026, 2:05:53 PM59 trades$24726 min
3/20/2026, 2:41:17 PM2 trades$110 min
3/20/2026, 2:46:45 PM3 trades$92 min
3/20/2026, 3:02:37 PM2 trades$101 min
3/20/2026, 3:14:01 PM20 trades$8024 min
3/20/2026, 3:44:29 PM103 trades$44947 min
3/20/2026, 9:48:25 PM43 trades$16426 min
3/20/2026, 10:20:01 PM7 trades$367 min
3/20/2026, 11:11:19 PM78 trades$33341 min
3/20/2026, 11:59:07 PM84 trades$37644 min
3/21/2026, 12:51:33 AM10 trades$483 min
3/21/2026, 2:17:49 AM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 2:27:19 AM5 trades$203 min
3/21/2026, 2:34:53 PM1 trades$40 min
3/21/2026, 2:40:55 PM3 trades$136 min
3/21/2026, 3:01:03 PM7 trades$296 min
3/21/2026, 3:15:13 PM2 trades$61 min
3/21/2026, 3:35:27 PM9 trades$357 min
3/21/2026, 8:12:33 PM4 trades$113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-30
04-09
04-19
05-02
05-12
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event