Polydata

@a74afd70

#7,018100

0xa74afd70c4c383bf45fee0f342502ac405c64893

~64d· 4126 markets · 35479 tradesVol: $6,276,8172026-06-27T04:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 70%20/20
Profit Factor 8.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.98615/15
Sortino 108.42910/10
EV $+6.61210/10
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader a74afd70 is an active participant on Polymarket with 64 days of activity and 35,479 trades executed across 1,005 markets. Despite a high volume of $6.28 million traded, their net profit and loss stands at $20,488.90, placing them at rank #7018 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their smart score is a perfect 100, indicating elite analytical capabilities, although their portfolio value currently reads zero, suggesting all positions may be closed or settled.

The trading style of a74afd70 appears to be high-frequency and diversified, engaging in many markets with a contrarian approach as indicated by their badges. Their win rate is relatively low at 39.2%, coupled with a very low profit factor of 0.01, which suggests small gains may be offset by larger losses or that profits come from a few key trades. The trader maintains a nearly neutral Sharpe ratio of 0.99 and shows no days of max drawdown, implying risk management is consistent but returns are modest. Their sell percentage is 0%, hinting at a possible preference for holding positions to expiration rather than active selling.

The strengths of a74afd70 include high activity, elite smart scoring, and a stable equity trend, suggesting disciplined and data-driven decision-making on Polymarket. However, the combination of a low profit factor and a modest win rate could indicate challenges in capitalizing on trades profitably over time. Additionally, the current zero portfolio value and lack of sell activity might expose them to risks if market conditions shift unexpectedly. Overall, a74afd70 demonstrates strong analytical skills but may need to refine execution or risk parameters to improve profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+20,489
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$1,130,271
Consistent
55/60 days
High Roller
$17,660/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,674,746$-421Vol: $36,159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,489
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,276,817
Total Redeem
$4,277
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4126
total markets
Trades
35479B / 0S
Daily Volume
$17,660
Account Age
~64d

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
755W / 302L events
Realized PnL
$250,991
Win Rate
39%
47W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-1,399

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$281
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$114
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe $108
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs$104
Valorant: Joblife vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D$79
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$65
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT Sou$63
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B$54
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA$54
Counter-Strike: Brute vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe $34

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-17,147
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-11,732
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Grou$-8,126
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group $-8,033
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-7,154
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs$-6,012
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger$-5,398
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prag$-4,568
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Divisi$-4,351
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-4,225

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.986
Sortino
108.429
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.612
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
599.5
Very active
Markets / Day
17.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 1.59 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness600 trades/day — automation17 markets/day — mass coverage1193 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
35 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
142 entries
<=10
260 entries
<=20
474 entries
<=50
779 entries
>50
226 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)47.2%
High (>55c)39.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Paris$-155
Atlanta$-25,273
Other$-75,544

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
867

Single bracket

<=1
771 brackets
<=2
828 brackets
<=3
865 brackets
<=4
866 brackets
<=5
867 brackets
<=8
867 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 1:53:37 PM1 trades$40 min
3/20/2026, 2:05:53 PM59 trades$24726 min
3/20/2026, 2:41:17 PM2 trades$110 min
3/20/2026, 2:46:45 PM3 trades$92 min
3/20/2026, 3:02:37 PM2 trades$101 min
3/20/2026, 3:14:01 PM20 trades$8024 min
3/20/2026, 3:44:29 PM103 trades$44947 min
3/20/2026, 9:48:25 PM43 trades$16426 min
3/20/2026, 10:20:01 PM7 trades$367 min
3/20/2026, 11:11:19 PM78 trades$33341 min
3/20/2026, 11:59:07 PM84 trades$37644 min
3/21/2026, 12:51:33 AM10 trades$483 min
3/21/2026, 2:17:49 AM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 2:27:19 AM5 trades$203 min
3/21/2026, 2:34:53 PM1 trades$40 min
3/21/2026, 2:40:55 PM3 trades$136 min
3/21/2026, 3:01:03 PM7 trades$296 min
3/21/2026, 3:15:13 PM2 trades$61 min
3/21/2026, 3:35:27 PM9 trades$357 min
3/21/2026, 8:12:33 PM4 trades$113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-30
04-09
04-19
05-02
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event