@abinfafafa

#320,77146

0xc5f57896d6790156b517d0b1af95db789bc7e714

~36d· 44 markets · 1479 tradesVol: $387,4082026-08-23 11:05:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (10/44)0/20
1.21x (win $26,656 / loss $21,944)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.47515/15
Sortino 2.95410/10
$+0.1027 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 460 (44 markets)10/10
7/32 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($6,145 / $9,050)0.4/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+49
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
🎭 CULTURE#31,527$49Vol: $387,408

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$49
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$387,408
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
548B / 931S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,525
Vol: $48,242
All Time
$49
Vol: $387,408

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
10W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$49
Win Rate
23%
10W / 34L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$2,666
Avg Loss
$-645

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,619 (300.55448190789474% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$5,912
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$4,472
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4,235
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$4,034
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2,934
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$1,501
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1,203
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1,084
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$825
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$456

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-2,966
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-2,839
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-1,751
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-1,628
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-1,472
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-1,385
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-1,203
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-1,141
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$-1,093
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$-742

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.181
HHI
539
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
41.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.6m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.6 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.61
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.3%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 2:06:41 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/25/2026, 5:53:28 AM3 trades$3,2870 min
6/8/2026, 2:07:30 PM12 trades$2,4061 min
6/22/2026, 11:17:31 PM32 trades$2,3470 min
6/12/2026, 4:42:33 AM12 trades$2,2140 min
6/19/2026, 4:09:59 PM6 trades$2,1610 min
6/9/2026, 9:51:52 AM22 trades$2,1180 min
6/12/2026, 2:20:42 PM2 trades$2,0530 min
6/21/2026, 3:39:19 PM3 trades$1,9220 min
6/6/2026, 2:21:58 AM23 trades$1,9190 min
6/20/2026, 1:51:44 PM3 trades$1,7940 min
7/7/2026, 3:11:05 AM14 trades$1,7600 min
8/14/2026, 2:18:01 PM5 trades$1,7580 min
6/29/2026, 2:58:11 PM29 trades$1,7142 min
6/10/2026, 3:55:48 AM14 trades$1,6640 min
6/30/2026, 2:22:11 PM6 trades$1,6605 min
7/7/2026, 4:26:56 AM44 trades$1,6252 min
6/5/2026, 6:15:07 PM25 trades$1,6224 min
6/19/2026, 5:55:35 AM14 trades$1,5054 min
6/12/2026, 3:14:45 PM18 trades$1,4620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-11
06-17
06-23
07-02
07-21
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.3 / M24.1 / H43.6