@acal

#11,30546

0x250c209da4b8cd7543a12eed529efc68b6982774

~283d· 8508 markets · 131319 tradesVol: $16,491,7422026-08-02 08:50:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (1247/8221)0/20
1.15x (win $60,288 / loss $52,463)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22415/15
Sortino 3.06110/10
$+0.0563 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 223 (8221 markets)10/10
94/279 profitable days (34%)0.9/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($8,589 / $14,972)2.5/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+13,271
Lottery Player
98% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Whale
$139,008 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#7,652$6,342Vol: $11,961,933
💰 FINANCE#869$6,262Vol: $3,690,943
🎭 CULTURE#12,917$231Vol: $370,257
💻 TECH#247,448$-92Vol: $203,362
🏛️ POLITICS#28,286$463Vol: $109,789
📈 ECONOMICS#10,842$127Vol: $67,859
SPORTS#1,545,747$-36Vol: $14,648
📢 MENTIONS#90,916$-2Vol: $6,724
🌤️ WEATHER#263,091$-23Vol: $4,951

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,491,742
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8508
total markets
Trades
119509B / 11810S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~283d

Periods

#2
Today
$28
Vol: $2,099
Week
$-524
Vol: $2,099
Month
$-143
Vol: $21,351
All Time
$13,292
Vol: $16,491,742

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
1247W / 6974L events
Realized PnL
$13,271
Win Rate
15%
1247W / 6974L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,895 (0.5948592983074806% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3,863
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$2,475
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,557
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1,360
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,128
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$693
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 18?$645
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?$628
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?$555
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$546

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$-1,043
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?$-380
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-352
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?$-341
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-288

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.169
HHI
190
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
268.0
Very active
Markets / Day
17.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
28.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.7

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 28.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock268 trades/day — automation17 markets/day — mass coverage98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)97.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)2.1%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 7:18:14 PM6 trades$50,0203 min
3/31/2026, 4:35:35 PM64 trades$18,26029 min
5/14/2026, 4:00:08 PM29 trades$15,13612 min
4/29/2026, 7:45:32 AM97 trades$10,05146 min
6/4/2026, 7:52:40 AM11 trades$7,3050 min
4/24/2026, 7:30:50 AM41 trades$6,58221 min
5/8/2026, 2:19:23 PM31 trades$5,56320 min
5/23/2026, 9:25:04 AM68 trades$5,34914 min
4/24/2026, 7:18:16 AM7 trades$5,0057 min
5/31/2026, 6:39:21 AM23 trades$3,7651 min
5/6/2026, 10:12:36 AM89 trades$3,63396 min
6/24/2026, 6:26:01 AM59 trades$3,41723 min
5/13/2026, 7:05:57 AM23 trades$3,10414 min
6/24/2026, 2:54:22 PM25 trades$3,00220 min
6/30/2026, 4:29:08 PM11 trades$2,5882 min
7/30/2026, 7:42:20 AM39 trades$2,5327 min
5/21/2026, 7:39:53 AM32 trades$2,52719 min
7/27/2026, 3:03:04 PM6 trades$2,4880 min
6/19/2026, 5:49:37 AM59 trades$2,38914 min
4/23/2026, 12:37:22 PM15 trades$2,31512 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
12-11
01-26
03-13
04-29
06-14
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.55/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L97.6 / M0.2 / H2.1