Polydata
adonpoli

@adonpoli

#5,81390

0x0260366a9add43c25d4f4d35d2210526c6750d88

~359d· 317 markets · 10685 tradesVol: $9,248,558 @adonpoli_2026-07-31 15:29:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (233/279)20/20
3.41x (win $65,491 / loss $19,206)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.69115/15
Sortino 8.66110/10
$+0.0086 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 169 (279 markets)10/10
142/169 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($7,115 / $52,053)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+28,315
DCA Master
Avg 26.7 entries/market
Whale
$5,382,560 invested
Consistent
142/169 profitable days
High Roller
$14,202/day
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,893$24,166Vol: $5,928,025
🎭 CULTURE#3,178$1,925Vol: $1,498,720
📈 ECONOMICS#4,223$614Vol: $850,435
CRYPTO#23,805$1,570Vol: $477,761
💰 FINANCE#42,141$18Vol: $155,237
📢 MENTIONS#4,097$193Vol: $118,112
🌤️ WEATHER#3,198$372Vol: $74,462
SPORTS#148,128$64Vol: $66,072
💻 TECH#3,182$284Vol: $63,660

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,319
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,248,558
Total Redeem
$54,476
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
317
total markets
Trades
6551B / 4134S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~359d

Periods

#2
Today
$68
Vol: $12,002
Week
$1,286
Vol: $82,266
Month
$2,026
Vol: $631,103
All Time
$28,319
Vol: $9,248,558

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
233W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$28,315
Win Rate
84%
233W / 46L
Profit Factor
3.41x
Avg Win
$281
Avg Loss
$-519

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,386 (0.8612516537252878% of PnL)

Top Winners

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$10,244
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$8,905
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5,237
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3,397
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2,372
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,163
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$2,065
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1,993
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1,710
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1,579

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-7,115
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-2,047
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,645
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-1,115
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-1,100
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$-901
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$-873
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-872
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-816
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$-688

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.193
Sortino
0.183
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
33.6%
Half-Kelly
16.8%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
15.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 276s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)97.2%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 8:16:47 AM9 trades$78,0374 min
5/17/2026, 9:49:13 PM10 trades$48,5387 min
6/1/2026, 9:52:43 PM14 trades$47,4197 min
5/25/2026, 9:36:45 PM22 trades$47,41623 min
3/8/2026, 11:12:05 AM1 trades$36,3610 min
1/3/2026, 3:33:39 PM2 trades$33,2730 min
2/17/2026, 11:27:09 PM4 trades$32,8494 min
4/8/2026, 12:14:23 AM49 trades$32,6941 min
4/3/2026, 9:50:53 PM4 trades$30,9793 min
4/29/2026, 8:38:38 PM9 trades$30,75314 min
4/7/2026, 10:49:35 PM3 trades$30,2762 min
4/8/2026, 6:42:37 PM2 trades$29,9102 min
3/24/2026, 11:50:25 AM1 trades$29,5820 min
2/3/2026, 12:16:10 AM6 trades$28,4909 min
4/18/2026, 10:36:52 PM34 trades$28,0390 min
1/3/2026, 11:53:13 AM9 trades$27,5819 min
5/17/2026, 6:23:16 PM6 trades$26,1941 min
4/1/2026, 8:54:53 AM17 trades$25,96012 min
5/8/2026, 12:53:33 PM2 trades$25,4650 min
2/4/2026, 8:52:29 PM5 trades$25,4595 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-19
09-27
11-17
12-30
02-10
04-14
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M1.7 / H97.2