@ahourse
#2,540,588180x303e472dcc44b14c3b6ca40c3b5541b97f41c54a
~15d· 23 markets · 232 tradesVol: $129,8272026-09-10 22:08:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (7/14)10/20
0.07x (win $384 / loss $5,655)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.7580/15
Sortino -8.6910/10
$-0.4035 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1960 (14 markets)2.7/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 5979% of peak ($5,360 / $90)0/10
Badges
1DCA Master
Avg 14.6 entries/market
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-84
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$129,827
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
132B / 100S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
7W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-93
Win Rate
50%
7W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-808
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $338 (3.6227345844504026% of PnL)
Top Winners
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?$241
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$60
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$8
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-2,081
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-2,003
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$-1,413
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?$-73
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-25
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.478
Sortino
-0.369
HHI
650
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.633
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.2%
Top-5 markets
49.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.4m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 2.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28.8%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)57.6%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 5:45:16 AM6 trades$2,5011 min
8/11/2026, 7:34:19 AM14 trades$2,4241 min
5/6/2026, 9:15:26 AM43 trades$1,52517 min
5/6/2026, 8:00:50 AM8 trades$1,3980 min
12/28/2025, 3:32:55 PM5 trades$1,1601 min
6/12/2026, 5:54:07 AM28 trades$1,1385 min
6/12/2026, 7:57:43 AM13 trades$1,08812 min
11/14/2025, 2:53:34 AM3 trades$7842 min
10/23/2025, 4:16:35 PM2 trades$7001 min
5/6/2026, 8:22:18 AM6 trades$6295 min
6/12/2026, 7:45:46 AM4 trades$4173 min
6/12/2026, 6:26:34 AM6 trades$3805 min
6/12/2026, 7:31:12 AM5 trades$3434 min
2/27/2026, 3:19:05 PM3 trades$3381 min
4/8/2026, 8:09:17 AM1 trades$2890 min
4/8/2026, 6:05:01 AM3 trades$2895 min
5/6/2026, 8:57:18 AM4 trades$2732 min
6/12/2026, 6:54:06 AM2 trades$2270 min
5/6/2026, 10:17:24 AM7 trades$2171 min
6/12/2026, 6:39:49 AM3 trades$2152 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
11-14
12-28
03-25
03-28
05-06
05-07
06-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 166 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.8 / M13.6 / H57.6