@alex314159

#424,70442

0x988a45ae2c4c3acc31765a6dace6cf5416f6e52f

~55d· 102 markets · 224 tradesVol: $4,3052026-10-08 05:41:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (65/83)20/20
0.97x (win $309 / loss $320)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3220/15
Sortino -0.3730/10
$-0.0049 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 180 (83 markets)10/10
28/38 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 450% of peak ($79 / $18)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+16
Consistent
28/38 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,420,850$-27Vol: $3,097
📈 ECONOMICS#27,910$22Vol: $517
💰 FINANCE#95,946$3Vol: $336
🎭 CULTURE#44,908$24Vol: $284
💻 TECH#30,452$3Vol: $33
₿ CRYPTO#359,002$2Vol: $24
🌤️ WEATHER#246,026$-10Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,305
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
102
total markets
Trades
141B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $23
Month
$8
Vol: $81
All Time
$16
Vol: $4,305

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
64W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
78%
64W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (5.511287370347772% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$41
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$36
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$13
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$9
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$9
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$8
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$7
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$7

Top Losers

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-80
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-30
US government shutdown Saturday?$-20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-20
OpenAI social app in 2025?$-20
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-20
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$-20
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-20
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$-17
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.46
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 0.46 — uniform order sizes3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 9:54:57 PM10 trades$3231 min
11/13/2025, 5:56:52 PM10 trades$2075 min
8/3/2025, 2:38:42 PM12 trades$19516 min
12/14/2025, 4:25:17 PM8 trades$1726 min
9/5/2026, 6:24:31 AM11 trades$1590 min
4/15/2026, 7:57:20 PM12 trades$1151 min
11/30/2025, 8:09:04 PM5 trades$1125 min
1/24/2026, 10:51:52 PM5 trades$1102 min
5/17/2026, 5:07:03 PM11 trades$1073 min
4/27/2026, 9:30:12 PM10 trades$1047 min
1/7/2026, 10:30:05 PM5 trades$973 min
1/16/2026, 7:53:18 PM6 trades$9710 min
4/12/2026, 8:14:41 PM7 trades$883 min
1/3/2026, 10:17:31 AM3 trades$822 min
9/17/2025, 9:16:58 PM5 trades$816 min
8/11/2025, 8:00:06 PM4 trades$605 min
8/13/2025, 7:19:48 PM3 trades$605 min
8/21/2025, 1:54:06 PM4 trades$605 min
9/4/2025, 7:44:08 PM3 trades$602 min
12/3/2025, 11:30:25 PM3 trades$601 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-26
08-23
09-08
11-13
12-29
03-24
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M0.7 / H95.7