Polydata
alihanyer

@alihanyer

#118,06239

0x1615086ace48440b0bc0da28a9dfc3d6e8208f2b

~279d· 909 markets · 50823 tradesVol: $18,817,559 @alihanyer2026-07-31 15:16:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (617/876)20/20
0.78x (win $84,951 / loss $109,171)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4140/15
Sortino -1.6370/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 89 (876 markets)10/10
120/183 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 286% of peak ($37,211 / $12,991)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+469
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 40.6 entries/market
Whale
$2,798,495 invested
Consistent
120/183 profitable days
High Roller
$9,924/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,879,351$-30,324Vol: $13,458,245
CRYPTO#3,817$12,329Vol: $2,847,224
🏛️ POLITICS#11,164$2,116Vol: $1,127,451
💰 FINANCE#488$11,520Vol: $691,963
🎭 CULTURE#1,714$4,476Vol: $613,742
📈 ECONOMICS#672,416$-289Vol: $4,200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,817,559
Total Redeem
$59,039
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
909
total markets
Trades
43956B / 6867S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~279d

Periods

#2
Today
$24
Vol: $1,200
Week
$164
Vol: $14,838
Month
$321
Vol: $122,367
All Time
$478
Vol: $18,817,559

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
70%
617W / 259L events
Realized PnL
$469
Win Rate
70%
617W / 259L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$138
Avg Loss
$-428

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,467 (24.474484024502168% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$4,838
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$3,951
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$2,678
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?$2,665
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$2,560
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1,911
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$1,898
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$1,807
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1,540
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1,511

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-12,411
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,589
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$-4,950
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-4,882
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$-4,400
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3,982
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-3,930
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$-3,920
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-3,254
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-3,219

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.074
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
180.2
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
47s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.6m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
68 min
Avg Trades / Session
274.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47s — normal for humanCV 6.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock180 trades/day — automation3.2 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.5%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)38.1%

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 5:19:33 PM1258 trades$61,02673 min
2/15/2026, 3:25:01 PM137 trades$40,44124 min
12/31/2025, 3:19:57 PM16 trades$40,41723 min
12/30/2025, 6:46:35 AM16 trades$38,54114 min
2/13/2026, 11:48:15 PM464 trades$37,16549 min
12/31/2025, 9:48:39 AM17 trades$36,48114 min
4/7/2026, 9:35:57 PM32 trades$36,47441 min
2/14/2026, 3:50:01 PM472 trades$34,97922 min
2/15/2026, 3:53:57 PM559 trades$32,70326 min
2/22/2026, 3:40:14 PM127 trades$24,9075 min
2/14/2026, 5:04:07 PM358 trades$24,10428 min
1/31/2026, 6:17:18 PM68 trades$23,04115 min
4/8/2026, 6:25:39 PM1 trades$21,8900 min
4/7/2026, 10:29:13 PM26 trades$21,51618 min
1/18/2026, 6:58:50 PM85 trades$21,30065 min
2/20/2026, 6:18:12 PM238 trades$21,05754 min
2/23/2026, 1:59:00 PM37 trades$20,98013 min
3/12/2026, 6:39:49 PM12 trades$19,8147 min
2/13/2026, 11:24:45 PM252 trades$19,17617 min
1/21/2026, 9:51:14 PM37 trades$18,83138 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
11-30
01-14
02-23
03-30
05-12
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.5 / M20.4 / H38.1