alleserojje

@alleserojje

#2,896,73243

0xcd8e300fc6dfb65a74a55731f66d47da18c0435c

~59d· 3927 markets · 10492 tradesVol: $213,932 @alleserojje2026-09-21 18:54:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (1337/3926)2/20
1.06x (win $6,431 / loss $6,053)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.43615/15
Sortino 3.96410/10
$+0.0266 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 70 (3926 markets)10/10
19/55 profitable days (35%)1.1/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($445 / $407)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
84% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,194,853$-6Vol: $127,920
CRYPTO#1,633,744$-604Vol: $78,036
SPORTS#95,021$163Vol: $4,915
🌤️ WEATHER#250,033$-13Vol: $2,410
🎭 CULTURE#85,679$6Vol: $248
💰 FINANCE#433,846$-1Vol: $69
📈 ECONOMICS#0$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-456
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$213,932
Total Redeem
$2,016
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3927
total markets
Trades
8051B / 2441S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-64
Vol: $127,076
All Time
$-456
Vol: $213,932

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
1337W / 2589L events
Realized PnL
$-166
Win Rate
34%
1337W / 2589L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $987 (5.9388393932097285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$435
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$403
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$149
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$134
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$126
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$63
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$52

Top Losers

Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$-56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?$-43
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-40
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5$-40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?$-34
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-27
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$-20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.074
Sortino
0.247
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.4
Active
Markets / Day
15.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency15 markets/day — mass coverage76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.5%
Mid (20-55c)59.5%
High (>55c)16%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 12:59:28 AM17 trades$8599 min
7/5/2026, 10:02:11 PM3 trades$8015 min
5/14/2026, 11:14:13 PM30 trades$4275 min
6/16/2026, 10:58:12 AM18 trades$4039 min
6/3/2026, 11:21:45 PM9 trades$3509 min
6/16/2026, 12:31:13 AM14 trades$32812 min
6/13/2026, 12:32:03 AM10 trades$3037 min
6/13/2026, 7:29:37 AM8 trades$3000 min
6/13/2026, 7:39:48 PM6 trades$3000 min
6/15/2026, 7:04:40 AM6 trades$3000 min
6/15/2026, 7:59:49 PM8 trades$3000 min
5/14/2026, 9:18:59 PM23 trades$2831 min
6/15/2026, 3:54:34 PM6 trades$2500 min
5/14/2026, 7:59:39 PM38 trades$2232 min
5/14/2026, 8:06:46 PM92 trades$21126 min
6/16/2026, 7:03:01 AM9 trades$20614 min
6/13/2026, 3:52:42 PM6 trades$2012 min
6/3/2026, 2:59:48 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/13/2026, 5:09:52 PM4 trades$2000 min
6/14/2026, 6:09:43 PM14 trades$1990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
04-24
05-04
05-15
06-10
06-19
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.71/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.5 / M59.5 / H16