Polydata

@alohaa

#3,026,41726

0x02b4401ae7ead14477e944f79e9db07ce9ab7092

~139d· 614 markets · 14124 tradesVol: $20,967,0872026-07-31 19:26:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (284/609)8.3/20
1.01x (win $33,121 / loss $32,889)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0931.8/15
Sortino 0.1081.1/10
$+0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 106 (609 markets)10/10
52/127 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 106% of peak ($7,766 / $7,356)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 23.1 entries/market
Whale
$516,840 invested
High Roller
$3,313/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#815,175$-5,040Vol: $20,473,588
SPORTS#30,421$1,390Vol: $493,499

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,650
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,967,087
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
614
total markets
Trades
6412B / 7712S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$925
Vol: $156,603
Week
$2,087
Vol: $810,479
Month
$3,470
Vol: $3,274,307
All Time
$-3,650
Vol: $20,967,087

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
284W / 325L events
Realized PnL
$-3,655
Win Rate
47%
284W / 325L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$117
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,032 (3.565116883472171% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5,960
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$3,868
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$3,204
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$2,496
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$1,974
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1,771
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$712
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$457
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$410
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$385

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-4,350
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$-3,008
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-2,928
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$-2,840
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-2,195
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-1,950
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-1,596
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-1,064
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-984
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-872

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.005
HHI
247
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 8.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock91 trades/day — mass trading3.9 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 1:49:56 AM62 trades$30,6180 min
7/27/2026, 4:46:27 PM2 trades$30,0000 min
4/8/2026, 2:55:33 PM6 trades$29,8060 min
5/5/2026, 4:33:30 AM17 trades$27,4614 min
4/27/2026, 8:25:36 AM27 trades$27,4356 min
7/30/2026, 2:07:05 AM23 trades$26,36715 min
5/22/2026, 4:49:33 AM20 trades$22,7240 min
5/19/2026, 5:02:34 AM19 trades$22,0022 min
6/8/2026, 7:10:42 AM135 trades$21,0315 min
7/29/2026, 6:36:56 PM10 trades$19,8201 min
5/9/2026, 10:02:29 AM24 trades$19,5980 min
4/24/2026, 4:32:10 AM17 trades$17,5790 min
4/30/2026, 2:11:04 AM24 trades$16,8830 min
4/29/2026, 5:46:06 PM22 trades$16,8408 min
4/30/2026, 9:49:52 PM24 trades$16,6913 min
4/28/2026, 2:52:12 PM7 trades$16,5930 min
7/27/2026, 6:10:22 PM14 trades$16,3050 min
5/3/2026, 6:18:18 PM15 trades$15,4330 min
5/11/2026, 2:37:23 PM15 trades$14,5745 min
5/18/2026, 2:41:07 PM45 trades$14,4750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-26
03-21
04-14
05-07
06-06
06-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.1 / M6.1 / H49.8