@alohaa

#3,148,56832

0x02b4401ae7ead14477e944f79e9db07ce9ab7092

~160d· 999 markets · 16978 tradesVol: $33,982,9202026-09-21 17:10:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (659/998)18/20
0.24x (win $35,444 / loss $147,693)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2040/15
Sortino -2.1910/10
$-0.0395 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 95 (998 markets)10/10
69/148 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 1649% of peak ($121,312 / $7,356)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.0 entries/market
Whale
$2,844,194 invested
High Roller
$15,627/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#831,520$-6,304Vol: $20,570,818
SPORTS#1,912,635$-22,194Vol: $13,412,102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28,498
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,982,920
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
999
total markets
Trades
8678B / 8300S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~160d

Periods

#2
Month
$6,215
Vol: $5,336,426
All Time
$-28,498
Vol: $33,982,920

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
659W / 339L events
Realized PnL
$-37,409
Win Rate
66%
659W / 339L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-469

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,032 (0.348363339882647% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5,960
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$3,868
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$3,204
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$2,496
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$1,974
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1,771
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$712
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$457
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$410
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$385

Top Losers

CA Belgrano vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$-61,302
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?$-52,114
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-4,350
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$-3,008
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-2,928
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$-2,840
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-2,195
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-1,950
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-1,596
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-06-20?$-1,301

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.3
Very active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.4m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 83s — normal for humanCV 8.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock93 trades/day — mass trading5.5 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)62.9%

Sessions

#12
8/22/2026, 5:48:51 PM16 trades$96,7531 min
8/26/2026, 6:14:33 PM4 trades$94,7052 min
8/26/2026, 2:09:57 AM4 trades$94,6250 min
8/25/2026, 5:44:19 PM10 trades$94,4383 min
8/21/2026, 8:00:25 PM16 trades$93,0539 min
8/23/2026, 2:24:42 AM4 trades$92,9300 min
8/14/2026, 3:34:45 PM22 trades$90,7452 min
8/20/2026, 7:16:04 PM13 trades$89,5594 min
8/21/2026, 5:18:39 PM15 trades$88,8496 min
8/2/2026, 4:09:48 PM57 trades$88,41646 min
8/19/2026, 11:44:54 PM19 trades$78,08012 min
8/6/2026, 2:01:02 AM64 trades$69,89154 min
8/21/2026, 2:08:54 AM40 trades$61,94517 min
8/17/2026, 8:21:09 PM42 trades$61,10515 min
8/7/2026, 12:45:59 AM89 trades$60,91761 min
8/5/2026, 4:04:38 AM28 trades$58,9399 min
8/22/2026, 6:56:07 PM1 trades$49,9500 min
8/19/2026, 2:14:16 AM47 trades$47,39823 min
8/1/2026, 10:08:29 PM97 trades$42,8648 min
8/16/2026, 2:32:55 AM9 trades$40,1491 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-26
03-24
04-22
05-16
06-18
07-22
08-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.6 / M4.5 / H62.9