alpheclabs

@alpheclabs

#3,158,10051

0xb4d250f58c26840e09723a83ce9c8149aa32ce99

~170d· 6175 markets · 153454 tradesVol: $89,230,9892026-09-21 18:49:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (2663/6108)6.8/20
1.04x (win $360,657 / loss $345,325)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.85215/15
Sortino 1.13410/10
$+0.0087 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 24 (6108 markets)10/10
88/170 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 156% of peak ($25,593 / $16,390)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$1,760,421 invested
High Roller
$4,056/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,928,303$-530,863Vol: $61,767,330
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,827$-4,979Vol: $338,455
🎭 CULTURE#823,180$-20,724Vol: $36,455
CRYPTO#1,538,759$-158Vol: $18,219
📈 ECONOMICS#689,138$-433Vol: $5,321
🌤️ WEATHER#16,968$18Vol: $3,324
💻 TECH#263,862$-277Vol: $3,106
💰 FINANCE#643,475$-126Vol: $1,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-938,620
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$89,230,989
Total Redeem
$81,597
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6175
total markets
Trades
12012B / 3471S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,938
Vol: $224,964
Week
$-115,171
Vol: $2,756,716
Month
$-198,047
Vol: $16,562,187
All Time
$-938,620
Vol: $89,230,989

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
8037W / 8854L events
Realized PnL
$-765,233
Win Rate
48%
8037W / 8854L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$135
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,208 (0.01987306762032524% of PnL)

Top Winners

Set 1 Winner: Dahlin vs Baez$6,754
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$4,322
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5$4,132
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$4,020
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$3,779
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5$3,356
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskova$3,050
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche$2,906
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$2,768
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$2,656

Top Losers

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-7,373
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-07-12?$-4,922
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5$-4,627
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5$-3,584
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$-3,442
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot$-3,330
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5$-3,185
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5$-2,600
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5$-2,242
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-2,160

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.047
HHI
18
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
353.6
Very active
Markets / Day
14.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.1m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 3.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock354 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.4%
High (>55c)41.5%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 8:46:02 PM16 trades$57,01812 min
6/22/2026, 2:38:59 AM20 trades$22,28514 min
6/7/2026, 5:20:34 PM28 trades$21,00026 min
6/21/2026, 6:04:58 PM51 trades$20,8160 min
6/27/2026, 10:16:43 PM31 trades$19,27925 min
6/12/2026, 9:11:45 PM5 trades$18,7440 min
6/16/2026, 10:39:26 PM19 trades$16,93313 min
6/6/2026, 2:50:28 PM10 trades$15,0640 min
6/16/2026, 4:53:04 PM2 trades$14,9090 min
7/20/2026, 10:23:16 AM2 trades$14,8330 min
6/21/2026, 3:50:59 PM87 trades$14,48256 min
6/23/2026, 5:36:29 PM9 trades$14,38112 min
6/16/2026, 6:41:02 PM3 trades$13,9460 min
6/20/2026, 9:44:23 PM24 trades$13,55818 min
6/24/2026, 3:32:22 AM50 trades$12,96226 min
7/1/2026, 8:40:49 PM7 trades$12,57314 min
6/28/2026, 2:28:19 AM51 trades$12,54025 min
5/8/2026, 4:47:08 PM6 trades$12,5248 min
5/17/2026, 10:31:57 PM3 trades$11,9580 min
6/18/2026, 8:23:50 PM64 trades$11,73839 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
03-24
04-26
05-24
06-21
07-19
08-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.1 / M37.4 / H41.5