@anciano

66

0xa8b7f8b34185e9cc62c471e1d353595148a3ee3c

~632d· 3200 markets · 137328 trades2026-08-02 08:50:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (1669/2823)14.6/20
1.20x (win $303,614 / loss $252,917)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.18615/15
Sortino 2.01110/10
$+0.0086 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 42 (2823 markets)10/10
251/444 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($24,571 / $51,456)4.4/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+5,164
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 34.3 entries/market
Whale
$5,877,603 invested
High Roller
$4,500/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,877,603
Total Redeem
$13,407
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3200
total markets
Trades
81573B / 55755S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~632d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
1669W / 1154L events
Realized PnL
$5,164
Win Rate
59%
1669W / 1154L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$182
Avg Loss
$-226

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,681 (5.166968444087259% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$9,356
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$8,869
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,457
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,898
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7,748
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$7,715
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7,521
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$6,390
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$6,232
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$4,679

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$-14,335
Scorigami in NFL Week 6?$-9,020
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,994
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,830
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,143
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-4,703
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$-4,698
Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?$-4,460
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$-4,078
Spread: United States (-1.5)$-3,455

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.062
Sortino
0.073
HHI
21
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
105.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
64 min
Avg Trades / Session
127.5

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock105 trades/day — automation2.5 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)46.5%

Sessions

#12
11/5/2024, 12:00:23 AM745 trades$90,509454 min
11/5/2024, 3:01:33 PM492 trades$74,704272 min
11/7/2024, 11:01:15 PM20 trades$34,98910 min
11/6/2024, 1:19:07 AM224 trades$33,517162 min
9/30/2025, 9:09:25 PM240 trades$25,983170 min
11/5/2024, 8:23:43 PM153 trades$25,49274 min
11/6/2024, 4:16:51 AM97 trades$23,93581 min
6/22/2026, 6:38:16 PM117 trades$22,91855 min
4/28/2026, 8:37:38 PM31 trades$21,6604 min
11/5/2025, 8:03:09 AM7 trades$18,7426 min
11/2/2024, 11:03:48 PM33 trades$18,2927 min
8/15/2025, 4:57:42 PM259 trades$18,041148 min
6/14/2026, 12:00:40 AM161 trades$17,69869 min
11/3/2024, 4:48:26 AM62 trades$16,94353 min
11/2/2024, 5:14:55 PM124 trades$16,41492 min
11/4/2024, 6:12:39 PM62 trades$15,27542 min
11/1/2024, 1:27:18 PM79 trades$14,12876 min
11/5/2024, 1:35:57 PM83 trades$13,43279 min
11/10/2025, 3:46:00 PM12 trades$13,3614 min
6/5/2025, 6:59:06 PM5 trades$13,1390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
11-06
06-15
09-27
12-22
04-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 610 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28 / M25.5 / H46.5