@anoin123
#3,069,075280x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
~213d· 512 markets · 189213 tradesVol: $108,282,5062026-07-31 15:56:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (232/448)10.9/20
0.63x (win $657,315 / loss $1,049,371)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4710/15
Sortino -1.5200/10
$-0.0646 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 87 (448 markets)10/10
80/139 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 371% of peak ($653,750 / $176,116)0/10
Badges
6Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 38.1 entries/market
Whale
$6,068,106 invested
High Roller
$28,224/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,510$-5,705,382Vol: $93,305,504
📈 ECONOMICS#17$274,135Vol: $6,942,254
💰 FINANCE#52$83,012Vol: $3,879,409
💻 TECH#15$58,890Vol: $1,794,087
🌤️ WEATHER#69$22,817Vol: $1,087,300
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,424$-31,428Vol: $786,302
🎭 CULTURE#816,415$-100,266Vol: $407,466
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,405,518
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,282,506
Total Redeem
$2,652,383
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
512
total markets
Trades
18218B / 770S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~213d
Periods
#2Today
$-647
Vol: $120,432
Week
$-1,947
Vol: $1,158,737
Month
$-59,320
Vol: $4,447,246
All Time
$-5,405,518
Vol: $108,282,506
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
55%
273W / 223L events
Realized PnL
$-5,404,376
Win Rate
55%
273W / 223L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$2,833
Avg Loss
$-4,858
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $100,866 (0.01866368425861503% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$46,578
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$28,225
US government shutdown Saturday?$26,063
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$21,013
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$16,158
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$15,215
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$14,867
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$14,243
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$13,257
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$12,657
Top Losers
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-103,278
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-60,325
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-49,705
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-45,770
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-42,418
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-38,706
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-35,214
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-34,487
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$-31,516
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-31,225
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
880.1
Very active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.4m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock880 trades/day — automation2.4 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
38.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)54.3%
Sessions
#122/19/2026, 12:10:26 AM7 trades$147,4304 min
3/5/2026, 6:12:01 PM1 trades$94,8240 min
1/24/2026, 9:51:06 PM2 trades$63,3835 min
3/11/2026, 7:32:53 AM3 trades$56,0309 min
1/8/2026, 5:41:12 PM4 trades$42,9696 min
7/16/2026, 6:22:32 PM24 trades$41,9570 min
4/9/2026, 5:44:43 PM26 trades$41,5753 min
2/27/2026, 7:27:41 PM24 trades$34,64224 min
2/27/2026, 4:51:47 PM12 trades$34,36614 min
4/7/2026, 5:51:31 PM21 trades$33,08321 min
2/18/2026, 10:51:08 PM3 trades$32,0004 min
2/28/2026, 2:22:19 AM1 trades$31,5300 min
2/4/2026, 6:29:35 PM43 trades$30,02460 min
3/7/2026, 2:01:57 AM3 trades$28,6004 min
4/7/2026, 2:35:53 PM9 trades$25,5810 min
4/16/2026, 2:35:14 AM10 trades$25,3300 min
1/29/2026, 9:18:48 PM21 trades$24,95320 min
2/27/2026, 10:32:19 PM51 trades$24,33831 min
2/2/2026, 12:16:26 PM2 trades$23,9640 min
4/5/2026, 2:37:29 AM5 trades$22,4895 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-30
02-22
03-24
05-02
06-10
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M22.9 / H54.3