@arbokbro
#193,853480x0cc7d88b8890e876766666de07f8cad98778bc74
~44d· 62 markets · 619 tradesVol: $50,4742026-08-04 19:09:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
32% (12/38)0.8/20
1.88x (win $382 / loss $203)13.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.86615/15
Sortino 9.54010/10
$+0.1450 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 2664 (38 markets)0/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($126 / $179)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+126
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7💻 TECH#244,416$-50Vol: $36,381
💰 FINANCE#12,438$197Vol: $7,353
🎭 CULTURE#692,997$-11Vol: $4,680
🏛️ POLITICS#1,286,677$-11Vol: $828
🌤️ WEATHER#251,292$-13Vol: $484
📢 MENTIONS#9,391$47Vol: $392
⚽ SPORTS#416,879$1Vol: $225
Overview
#1Net PnL
$156
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,474
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
406B / 213S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
Periods
#2Today
$33
Vol: $1,364
Week
$4
Vol: $6,350
Month
$2
Vol: $10,191
All Time
$156
Vol: $50,474
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
32%
12W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$126
Win Rate
32%
12W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.88x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $269 (2.1267917953591513% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$194
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$45
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$30
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$29
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 14?$15
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$7
Will anyone say "God" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?$6
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$6
Top Losers
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-64
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14?$-41
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$-17
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$-11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?$-11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-8
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-8
Will anyone say "Crazy" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?$-7
Will anyone say "Assassin" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?$-5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.147
Sortino
0.444
HHI
260
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.283
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
31.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 853s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)81.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)13.8%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 6:30:02 PM24 trades$1,7105 min
7/31/2026, 4:40:23 PM9 trades$1,2065 min
7/8/2026, 12:04:02 AM16 trades$1,0611 min
6/8/2026, 3:49:28 AM5 trades$9712 min
7/8/2026, 3:09:35 PM23 trades$70113 min
7/8/2026, 12:41:16 AM3 trades$3550 min
7/31/2026, 1:16:56 AM7 trades$2750 min
7/8/2026, 12:31:11 AM4 trades$2070 min
6/18/2026, 9:24:10 PM6 trades$2052 min
6/7/2026, 6:13:21 PM4 trades$1901 min
7/31/2026, 1:51:54 AM8 trades$1784 min
7/8/2026, 7:40:52 PM4 trades$1600 min
7/29/2026, 7:03:59 PM11 trades$1608 min
7/31/2026, 1:35:06 AM9 trades$1400 min
6/12/2026, 4:09:40 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/31/2026, 4:58:42 PM7 trades$925 min
5/26/2026, 4:58:10 PM8 trades$793 min
8/2/2026, 11:58:14 AM5 trades$784 min
6/8/2026, 3:44:03 AM5 trades$720 min
8/3/2026, 7:14:50 AM11 trades$692 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
06-05
06-11
06-15
06-26
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 46 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
15.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.66/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.5 / M4.7 / H13.8