@arcaze
810x349134061a03dc68dd84cfc91ad3b4d0dd2dbb86
~23d· 27 markets · 210 trades2026-10-05 20:24:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (9/19)8.7/20
4.30x (win $1,103 / loss $256)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.16515/15
Sortino 42.02110/10
$+0.4015 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1326 (19 markets)5.9/10
8/14 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($125 / $932)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+792
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Overview
#1Net PnL
$792
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,110
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
112B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
9W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$792
Win Rate
47%
9W / 10L
Profit Factor
4.3x
Avg Win
$123
Avg Loss
$-26
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $845 (1.066890688361399% of PnL)
Top Winners
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$413
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$249
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?$182
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$117
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?$64
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$40
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$23
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$12
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3
Top Losers
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-83
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-80
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-33
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$-22
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?$-15
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-9
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-7
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-3
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$-2
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 9PM ET$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.462
Sortino
1.842
HHI
817
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.523
Kelly %
8.3%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
54.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)90.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)0.9%
Sessions
#129/10/2026, 7:05:24 AM4 trades$1,6700 min
9/10/2026, 6:57:54 AM11 trades$5551 min
3/19/2026, 8:00:49 PM1 trades$4950 min
1/17/2026, 1:41:58 PM1 trades$4120 min
3/3/2026, 12:51:51 PM4 trades$3842 min
3/21/2026, 8:21:07 AM2 trades$3180 min
1/5/2026, 9:53:47 PM1 trades$3000 min
3/4/2026, 1:00:45 PM1 trades$2590 min
3/5/2026, 4:10:55 PM25 trades$23919 min
3/2/2026, 10:59:21 AM4 trades$2382 min
9/10/2026, 7:49:03 AM7 trades$2331 min
3/6/2026, 2:38:17 PM7 trades$2135 min
3/21/2026, 4:34:57 AM11 trades$1918 min
3/5/2026, 1:12:25 PM1 trades$1370 min
3/2/2026, 7:30:15 PM2 trades$1250 min
2/28/2026, 1:48:15 PM1 trades$1130 min
3/26/2026, 2:07:01 PM1 trades$1070 min
3/4/2026, 10:34:41 AM4 trades$913 min
3/16/2026, 3:46:23 PM3 trades$893 min
1/9/2026, 8:56:48 AM1 trades$890 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
03-04
03-06
03-09
03-16
03-21
03-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.2 / M8.9 / H0.9