@asterley
#106,005240xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b
~200d· 808 markets · 17971 tradesVol: $446,3352026-08-04 20:40:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (320/687)8.3/20
0.91x (win $35,400 / loss $39,058)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4020/15
Sortino -0.4230/10
$-0.0243 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 104 (687 markets)10/10
86/175 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 284% of peak ($15,975 / $5,622)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+606
DCA Master
Avg 25.6 entries/market
Whale
$150,509 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#31,409$382Vol: $367,410
⚽ SPORTS#109,041$124Vol: $50,036
💰 FINANCE#8,263$384Vol: $10,068
📈 ECONOMICS#8,132$205Vol: $5,452
₿ CRYPTO#1,003,880$-4Vol: $1,411
🎭 CULTURE#17,191$138Vol: $419
📢 MENTIONS#134,373$-13Vol: $71
Overview
#1Net PnL
$606
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$446,335
Total Redeem
$1,674
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
808
total markets
Trades
8141B / 9830S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~200d
Periods
#2Today
$-61
Vol: $2,261
Week
$-46
Vol: $5,364
Month
$131
Vol: $5,968
All Time
$606
Vol: $446,335
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
320W / 366L events
Realized PnL
$606
Win Rate
47%
320W / 366L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-111
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,224 (8.620553098805361% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$2,819
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$1,313
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$1,093
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$1,037
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$931
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$865
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$806
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$715
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$683
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$675
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-11,920
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-1,435
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5$-971
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5$-920
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-749
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5$-628
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-564
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-544
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$-414
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-411
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
149
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
21.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
87.2
Very active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
50.6
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 280s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock87 trades/day — mass trading3.9 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)66.4%
Sessions
#124/1/2026, 12:45:13 PM26 trades$6,1758 min
7/3/2026, 7:35:41 PM27 trades$2,9987 min
5/26/2026, 2:52:54 PM62 trades$2,95327 min
6/14/2026, 8:59:10 PM212 trades$2,32954 min
6/7/2026, 6:32:22 PM152 trades$2,28157 min
3/23/2026, 11:04:57 AM28 trades$2,15129 min
5/8/2026, 6:25:50 PM45 trades$2,09924 min
7/5/2026, 8:45:01 AM27 trades$1,7108 min
5/23/2026, 5:43:23 PM219 trades$1,63346 min
5/13/2026, 8:07:28 PM55 trades$1,54418 min
4/10/2026, 3:23:29 PM4 trades$1,5270 min
4/24/2026, 1:35:24 PM5 trades$1,4542 min
7/30/2026, 9:07:02 AM25 trades$1,45410 min
5/23/2026, 8:10:30 PM226 trades$1,44841 min
4/7/2026, 10:23:57 PM87 trades$1,40539 min
4/6/2026, 7:39:05 AM14 trades$1,3843 min
3/17/2026, 1:01:37 PM1 trades$1,3790 min
1/14/2026, 8:00:50 AM2 trades$1,3621 min
7/29/2026, 10:22:11 PM5 trades$1,3291 min
5/15/2026, 3:25:05 PM2 trades$1,3140 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-17
03-20
04-22
05-26
06-27
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.7 / M24.9 / H66.4