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@bac4ab50

#2,678,65740

0xbac4ab50a9059b89131cf7bad38bb12c031586db

~87d· 3298 markets · 2590 tradesVol: $154,0632026-06-06T06:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.21x0/15
HHI 3510/10
Profit Days 78%10/10

Summary

The trader bac4ab50 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 2,590 trades across 1,401 markets over 87 days. Despite a high volume of $154,063, their overall net PnL stands at a negative $1,096.21, placing them at rank #2,678,657 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score is below average at 40/100, and the portfolio value has declined to $97.28, indicating challenges in profitability.

Bac4ab50’s strategy appears to focus on a large number of trades with a high win rate of 72.5%, suggesting a preference for frequent, smaller bets rather than high-risk, high-reward plays. Their Profit Factor of 0.21 and negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.36 reveal that losses outweigh gains, despite consistent winning trades. The trader’s semi-automated style (Bot Score 55/100) points to a blend of bot-driven and manual trading, with no activity in weather markets and no selling, implying a buy-and-hold or long exposure approach.

Strengths for bac4ab50 include a solid win rate, consistent trading volume, and an upward equity trend, reflecting disciplined activity and some resilience. However, the negative overall profitability, low profit factor, and poor risk-adjusted returns highlight concerns about the effectiveness of their strategy in generating sustainable profits on Polymarket. The lack of sell-offs may also increase exposure to downside risk during market downturns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
140 wins in a row
Consistent
42/54 days

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,650,236$-1,090Vol: $153,967
🏛️ POLITICS#340,742$1Vol: $80
CRYPTO#967,390$-4Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,096
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$154,063
Total Redeem
$11,487
Portfolio
$97
Predictions
3298
total markets
Trades
2585B / 5S
Daily Volume
$367
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $38
Week
$41
Vol: $1,253
Month
$41
Vol: $1,129
All Time
$-1,096
Vol: $154,063

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
230W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$17,127
Win Rate
72%
663W / 252L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-84

Top Winners

Magic vs. Pistons$119
Tochigi SC vs. SC Sagamihara: Both Teams to Score$95
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$77
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-22?$76
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$74
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$69
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)$64
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-21?$63
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)$62

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Warriors$-450
Mavericks vs. Suns$-402
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx$-393
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$-365
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets$-300
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang$-298
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$-296
Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenone$-296
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-296
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse$-296

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.361
Sortino
-0.285
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.593
Kelly %
34.1%
Half-Kelly
17.1%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.6
Active
Markets / Day
22.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.7m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 242s — typical for humanSize CV 1.75 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness42 trades/day — suspiciously high22 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
922 entries
<=2
1164 entries
<=5
1331 entries
<=10
1387 entries
<=20
1401 entries
<=50
1401 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)46.1%
High (>55c)49.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.4%

Shanghai$67
Austin$13
Dallas$12
São Paulo$6
New York City$4
Beijing$2
Seoul$1
Shenzhen$0
Wuhan$0
Atlanta$-16
Toronto$-31
Milan$-37
Chicago$-45
San Francisco$-99
Houston$-114
Miami$-148
Seattle$-159
Paris$-231

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
1070

Single bracket

<=1
841 brackets
<=2
1003 brackets
<=3
1045 brackets
<=4
1063 brackets
<=5
1067 brackets
<=8
1070 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 9:37:45 PM1 trades$100 min
4/4/2026, 10:02:15 PM1 trades$100 min
4/5/2026, 6:03:41 PM2 trades$40 min
4/5/2026, 7:08:23 PM1 trades$60 min
4/8/2026, 4:34:29 AM1 trades$30 min
4/8/2026, 8:00:11 AM1 trades$100 min
4/8/2026, 2:57:49 PM3 trades$1995 min
4/8/2026, 3:08:13 PM2 trades$1980 min
4/8/2026, 3:28:19 PM2 trades$1983 min
4/8/2026, 3:38:11 PM1 trades$190 min
4/8/2026, 3:44:13 PM2 trades$1960 min
4/8/2026, 4:02:41 PM2 trades$1970 min
4/8/2026, 4:08:39 PM3 trades$1075 min
4/8/2026, 4:18:43 PM2 trades$905 min
4/8/2026, 4:31:45 PM1 trades$990 min
4/8/2026, 5:02:35 PM2 trades$1013 min
4/8/2026, 6:17:35 PM1 trades$20 min
4/8/2026, 6:25:19 PM2 trades$1031 min
4/8/2026, 6:41:15 PM4 trades$530 min
4/8/2026, 6:48:53 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-17
04-26
05-08
05-20
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event