@balloHELL6t4D

#2,716,05623

0xc31762f15036b0aa4bddd0d1d6d693b7b3ff7bd6

~17d· 24 markets · 47 tradesVol: $117,3372026-09-10 22:07:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (12/21)13.6/20
0.50x (win $126 / loss $251)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6960/15
Sortino -3.9560/10
$-0.0284 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5521 (21 markets)0/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($212 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Consistent
8/12 profitable days

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,446,304$-36Vol: $114,299
⚽ SPORTS#1,169,246$-4Vol: $2,861
💻 TECH#256,454$-60Vol: $80
₿ CRYPTO#1,367,465$-34Vol: $48
💰 FINANCE#520,578$-3Vol: $7
📈 ECONOMICS#214,124$0Vol: $3
📢 MENTIONS#61,048$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-160
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,337
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
31B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-160
Vol: $117,337

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
12W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-160
Win Rate
57%
12W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $110 (0.6843287773825127% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$74
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$19
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$17
Trump x Putin talk before August?$5
Liverpool wins the Premier League?$4
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$4
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $1
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$0
Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?$0

Top Losers

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?$-70
Pavel Durov released in August?$-60
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-55
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?$-35
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-10
49ers vs. Eagles$-6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-6
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$-5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
1893
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
40.4%
Half-Kelly
20.2%
Top-1 market
42.7%
Top-5 markets
57.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.81
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)71%

Sessions

#12
8/14/2026, 8:28:03 AM8 trades$2,9381 min
4/6/2026, 9:08:15 AM8 trades$9601 min
4/7/2026, 10:10:03 AM2 trades$9400 min
4/17/2026, 5:40:04 AM3 trades$6520 min
4/20/2026, 10:06:02 AM2 trades$6520 min
1/26/2025, 10:15:58 AM3 trades$3623 min
8/26/2024, 12:46:31 PM4 trades$2751 min
12/10/2024, 5:13:08 PM1 trades$2420 min
12/11/2024, 12:29:10 PM1 trades$2340 min
9/6/2024, 1:24:14 PM4 trades$1241 min
8/14/2026, 7:58:54 PM1 trades$760 min
12/21/2024, 10:51:28 AM2 trades$490 min
8/14/2026, 6:14:49 PM1 trades$240 min
1/27/2025, 3:08:11 PM1 trades$240 min
2/27/2025, 7:27:43 AM1 trades$140 min
9/21/2025, 9:44:50 PM1 trades$100 min
7/2/2025, 9:52:35 AM1 trades$60 min
1/11/2026, 3:50:26 PM1 trades$60 min
9/6/2024, 6:00:28 PM1 trades$20 min
9/8/2024, 10:54:17 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-26
09-08
12-21
02-27
09-21
04-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M9.7 / H71