@baobeiera

#678,45712

0x7c14908900d968cbd728623be4be1f5cb7288da1

~50d· 89 markets · 411 tradesVol: $54,7922026-09-10 22:04:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (24/76)0.8/20
0.62x (win $1,958 / loss $3,180)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3120/15
Sortino -3.6270/10
$-0.1810 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 519 (76 markets)9.9/10
14/41 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 495% of peak ($1,630 / $329)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+2
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#84,709$225Vol: $27,274
🏛️ POLITICS#1,530,004$-98Vol: $9,331
🎭 CULTURE#778,274$-61Vol: $7,880
💰 FINANCE#614,083$-29Vol: $4,626
CRYPTO#1,035,988$-4Vol: $2,532
📢 MENTIONS#149,128$-22Vol: $1,054
🌤️ WEATHER#239,116$-6Vol: $898
📈 ECONOMICS#178,313$0Vol: $879
💻 TECH#164,183$-0Vol: $190

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,792
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
89
total markets
Trades
203B / 208S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $460
Week
$-5
Vol: $460
Month
$-6
Vol: $500
All Time
$2
Vol: $54,792

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
24W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$2
Win Rate
32%
24W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,515 (870.896551724138% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$605
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$571
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$339
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$189
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?$88
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$30
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$28
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?$23
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?$15
Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?$14

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-738
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-448
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-434
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$-378
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$-306
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$-240
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-54
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$-52
76ers vs. Knicks$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.171
Sortino
-0.156
HHI
883
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.141
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
54.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 297s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.55
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)52.7%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 2:22:04 PM23 trades$1,3915 min
6/6/2026, 1:27:51 PM6 trades$1,3331 min
6/27/2026, 5:57:19 AM6 trades$1,2601 min
4/15/2026, 5:12:10 AM13 trades$1,18611 min
6/20/2026, 12:35:14 PM4 trades$1,0703 min
6/22/2026, 4:26:59 AM7 trades$1,0201 min
6/1/2026, 5:28:35 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/6/2026, 5:35:25 AM2 trades$5900 min
6/3/2026, 2:12:40 PM36 trades$5221 min
7/14/2026, 9:03:19 PM2 trades$4200 min
7/12/2026, 1:32:17 PM2 trades$4130 min
4/15/2026, 7:42:12 AM2 trades$3950 min
4/8/2026, 2:44:07 AM3 trades$3900 min
4/15/2026, 10:38:56 AM2 trades$3870 min
4/23/2026, 6:50:02 AM3 trades$3600 min
5/8/2026, 1:59:19 PM3 trades$3600 min
6/7/2026, 12:42:52 PM4 trades$2930 min
7/15/2026, 9:16:43 PM2 trades$2840 min
5/16/2026, 12:49:33 PM3 trades$2401 min
7/9/2026, 8:56:23 PM2 trades$2360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
03-26
04-28
05-13
05-28
06-20
07-14
09-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.1 / M23.2 / H52.7