bau7

@bau7

#27,20440

0xf9a23d70c3429c582dce8737fc7d818f9044a79a

~315d· 1248 markets · 20812 tradesVol: $20,939,2782026-08-02 07:15:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (455/1216)3.7/20
1.11x (win $304,125 / loss $273,253)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4648.7/15
Sortino 1.19810/10
$+0.0185 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 96 (1216 markets)10/10
94/274 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($38,007 / $62,076)1.8/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+4,638
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,666,145 invested
High Roller
$5,142/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,880,767$-38,795Vol: $16,483,623
CRYPTO#648$59,411Vol: $1,817,405
🏛️ POLITICS#8,331$3,321Vol: $1,378,631
🎭 CULTURE#814,659$-3,752Vol: $496,121
📈 ECONOMICS#677,360$-865Vol: $318,093
💰 FINANCE#655,087$-1,981Vol: $139,991
💻 TECH#258,126$-8,050Vol: $122,673
📢 MENTIONS#176,316$-4,443Vol: $117,679

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,939,278
Total Redeem
$622
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1248
total markets
Trades
13127B / 7685S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~315d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $448
Week
$-2,649
Vol: $448
Month
$-298
Vol: $7,373
All Time
$4,580
Vol: $20,939,278

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
455W / 761L events
Realized PnL
$4,638
Win Rate
37%
455W / 761L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$668
Avg Loss
$-364

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,966 (11.635638590325469% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$25,408
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14,585
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$13,973
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13,587
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$10,663
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$10,215
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$10,010
Knicks vs. Spurs$9,921
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$7,306
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$7,158

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,371
Will Solana dip to $195 in October?$-8,236
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-7,646
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-6,713
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,919
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-5,279
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,175
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-4,930
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-3,793
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-3,731

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.059
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
20.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.2
Very active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 8.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading3.9 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)35.5%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 2:33:30 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
4/2/2026, 1:21:41 AM4 trades$49,4640 min
4/1/2026, 11:21:27 PM2 trades$38,5000 min
6/18/2026, 12:54:55 AM40 trades$28,5932 min
7/17/2026, 9:56:25 PM4 trades$24,0000 min
11/18/2025, 5:39:39 PM30 trades$23,09132 min
5/18/2026, 4:26:56 AM1 trades$23,0000 min
5/4/2026, 7:01:00 PM36 trades$22,53112 min
4/30/2026, 12:41:46 PM6 trades$19,6241 min
4/1/2026, 11:38:55 PM4 trades$18,5000 min
6/5/2026, 7:29:16 PM36 trades$16,9289 min
5/25/2026, 11:43:47 AM30 trades$16,8054 min
4/27/2026, 5:47:24 PM47 trades$16,3422 min
7/1/2026, 11:03:56 PM34 trades$14,9253 min
5/18/2026, 10:54:30 AM2 trades$14,0000 min
1/11/2026, 4:51:20 PM5 trades$13,9632 min
4/30/2026, 9:55:58 PM4 trades$12,8003 min
4/23/2026, 12:00:18 AM126 trades$12,7147 min
6/3/2026, 4:58:31 PM4 trades$12,3733 min
4/30/2026, 9:57:30 AM35 trades$12,3035 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-13
11-03
12-28
02-15
04-07
05-28
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.6 / M30.9 / H35.5