@bearmagnet
#3,045,376100xffd87246e85ec478d221ade469c3c19ed3be1a4d
~77d· 131 markets · 813 tradesVol: $288,9352026-10-04 18:15:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
13% (17/128)0/20
0.41x (win $1,410 / loss $3,433)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9760/15
Sortino -5.6580/10
$-0.2873 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 376 (128 markets)10/10
9/60 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 509% of peak ($2,518 / $495)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Categories
8🎭 CULTURE#813,576$-439Vol: $99,928
₿ CRYPTO#1,302,240$-24Vol: $63,250
💰 FINANCE#662,184$-700Vol: $44,825
🏛️ POLITICS#52,668$149Vol: $31,238
⚽ SPORTS#69,994$316Vol: $28,145
💻 TECH#271,115$-508Vol: $18,426
📈 ECONOMICS#653,524$-36Vol: $1,507
📢 MENTIONS#142,454$-16Vol: $156
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,256
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$288,935
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
131
total markets
Trades
269B / 544S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-61
Vol: $824
Month
$-737
Vol: $73,047
All Time
$-1,256
Vol: $288,935
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
13%
17W / 111L events
Realized PnL
$-441
Win Rate
13%
17W / 111L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$83
Avg Loss
$-33
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $703 (1.594532100108814% of PnL)
Top Winners
Government shutdown on Saturday?$330
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$200
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$173
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$158
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$84
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$63
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$51
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50
Top Losers
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$-713
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$-200
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-140
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?$-110
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$-84
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-81
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$-76
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$-68
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-65
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$-60
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.258
Sortino
-0.306
HHI
582
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.300
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.4%
Top-5 markets
40.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)72.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)17.8%
Sessions
#129/11/2026, 9:40:28 AM5 trades$5,0000 min
9/11/2026, 9:51:12 AM15 trades$4,4950 min
7/18/2026, 9:36:54 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/19/2026, 2:25:48 PM3 trades$1,9370 min
5/18/2026, 6:25:20 PM28 trades$1,8786 min
5/12/2026, 6:14:42 PM43 trades$1,5494 min
4/8/2026, 10:43:03 AM23 trades$1,5064 min
4/23/2026, 7:25:04 PM28 trades$1,0022 min
4/23/2026, 6:53:02 PM37 trades$9594 min
5/17/2026, 1:34:56 PM12 trades$8613 min
5/29/2026, 2:26:51 PM47 trades$7012 min
5/14/2026, 10:42:11 PM15 trades$6801 min
7/15/2026, 8:18:55 PM2 trades$6670 min
4/23/2026, 9:42:20 AM23 trades$6490 min
4/23/2026, 9:56:00 AM15 trades$6240 min
5/19/2026, 6:56:26 PM22 trades$5441 min
8/8/2026, 3:13:42 PM21 trades$5340 min
7/15/2026, 8:31:07 PM4 trades$4190 min
4/28/2026, 2:59:20 PM11 trades$4111 min
5/7/2026, 11:03:45 AM7 trades$3852 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-13
02-28
04-23
05-17
06-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 176 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.5 / M9.7 / H17.8