@beatyesterday
#3,106,511400x7789957157a13aa3610e26d61ef8f99317b7a280
~208d· 703 markets · 12663 tradesVol: $6,471,8942026-08-23 11:05:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
77% (534/690)20/20
0.68x (win $125,904 / loss $186,190)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4940/15
Sortino -1.5910/10
$-0.0163 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 162 (690 markets)10/10
125/174 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 4021% of peak ($82,144 / $2,043)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 21.0 entries/market
Whale
$3,687,543 invested
Consistent
125/174 profitable days
High Roller
$15,895/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🎭 CULTURE#824,463$-27,497Vol: $4,435,862
₿ CRYPTO#1,698,201$-69,392Vol: $594,333
🏛️ POLITICS#4,294$8,700Vol: $579,511
💰 FINANCE#664,099$-17,904Vol: $344,470
⚽ SPORTS#1,878,502$-3,030Vol: $313,183
📈 ECONOMICS#836$6,854Vol: $195,499
🌤️ WEATHER#8,242$80Vol: $7,837
📢 MENTIONS#24,473$6Vol: $200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-102,176
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,471,894
Total Redeem
$14,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
703
total markets
Trades
8209B / 4454S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~208d
Periods
#2Today
$167
Vol: $7,447
Week
$2,561
Vol: $7,447
Month
$4,156
Vol: $746,178
All Time
$-102,176
Vol: $6,471,894
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
77%
534W / 156L events
Realized PnL
$-105,951
Win Rate
77%
534W / 156L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$236
Avg Loss
$-1,233
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,889 (0.23491100575236362% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9,297
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$8,229
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$7,363
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$7,284
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$4,138
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$3,963
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3,693
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$2,649
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$1,671
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1,511
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-31,362
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-20,337
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-16,533
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$-14,500
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-8,903
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$-8,457
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?$-8,000
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-4,932
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of January 2026?$-3,994
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-3,479
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
178
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
21.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
54.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.6m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.5
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading3.0 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
21.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)90.2%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 12:03:54 PM84 trades$191,5584 min
4/7/2026, 10:51:51 PM165 trades$84,73626 min
5/31/2026, 1:07:40 PM58 trades$67,9574 min
5/31/2026, 1:33:32 PM15 trades$66,9713 min
3/12/2026, 9:52:09 AM21 trades$42,00217 min
3/3/2026, 2:14:09 PM12 trades$41,50013 min
3/19/2026, 8:12:31 AM35 trades$40,74537 min
3/3/2026, 7:08:05 AM3 trades$39,7454 min
2/25/2026, 2:17:06 PM21 trades$36,91521 min
4/30/2026, 5:27:28 AM273 trades$31,24912 min
3/4/2026, 3:16:21 PM11 trades$30,7389 min
1/30/2026, 1:11:36 PM2 trades$30,2301 min
3/20/2026, 12:09:01 AM15 trades$29,65711 min
2/15/2026, 7:08:33 AM3 trades$29,0181 min
1/19/2026, 12:28:16 PM1 trades$26,9860 min
5/11/2026, 4:24:59 PM33 trades$25,03810 min
2/21/2026, 2:29:12 PM5 trades$24,5284 min
7/5/2026, 9:43:29 PM48 trades$24,1899 min
3/5/2026, 11:00:57 PM2 trades$23,0000 min
5/14/2026, 11:47:59 AM1 trades$22,5600 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
02-15
03-16
04-19
05-22
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 146 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M4.1 / H90.2