
@beggarrr
#2,958,946100x032aa3277e1d7970f0f5c7d66add7af5ace1cf07
~105d· 821 markets · 8426 tradesVol: $1,621,4832026-08-02 07:17:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
4% (34/813)0/20
0.35x (win $2,106 / loss $5,987)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9030/15
Sortino -6.9230/10
$-0.1628 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 223 (813 markets)10/10
8/101 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 75455% of peak ($3,886 / $5)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,503$-447Vol: $949,318
🎭 CULTURE#795,448$-216Vol: $233,659
📈 ECONOMICS#670,473$-267Vol: $188,028
⚽ SPORTS#1,746,261$-220Vol: $94,441
₿ CRYPTO#1,334,414$-33Vol: $54,269
💻 TECH#246,215$-75Vol: $38,042
💰 FINANCE#613,322$-41Vol: $25,733
📢 MENTIONS#150,649$-33Vol: $19,583
🌤️ WEATHER#277,454$-57Vol: $16,457
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,393
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,621,483
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
821
total markets
Trades
4504B / 3922S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~105d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $263
Week
$-126
Vol: $263
Month
$-21
Vol: $925
All Time
$-1,393
Vol: $1,621,483
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
4%
35W / 778L events
Realized PnL
$-1,395
Win Rate
4%
35W / 778L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,652 (1.1841501534226149% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,109
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$417
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$125
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$118
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$77
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$63
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$42
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders$40
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$-274
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-261
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$-206
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$-146
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $-142
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-137
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-121
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-121
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-114
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-103
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.407
HHI
2816
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
52.5%
Top-5 markets
64.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
79.5
Very active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
21.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 347s — normal for humanCV 21.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock79 trades/day — mass trading7.7 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)84%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)15.3%
Sessions
#126/5/2026, 5:55:42 PM81 trades$10,25325 min
6/17/2026, 10:48:32 AM19 trades$10,23811 min
4/26/2026, 8:42:08 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/26/2026, 9:30:30 AM4 trades$9,4800 min
5/11/2026, 8:07:37 PM6 trades$7,5002 min
6/21/2026, 12:34:26 PM17 trades$6,2305 min
6/7/2026, 8:23:57 PM12 trades$6,18112 min
7/5/2026, 12:55:58 PM4 trades$5,8101 min
5/30/2026, 1:42:56 AM30 trades$5,33619 min
6/5/2026, 2:20:18 PM6 trades$5,2290 min
6/18/2026, 2:12:28 AM11 trades$5,1265 min
6/21/2026, 5:41:28 PM9 trades$5,1051 min
7/28/2026, 3:39:38 PM13 trades$5,0329 min
6/4/2026, 2:54:31 AM4 trades$5,0004 min
6/18/2026, 4:04:19 AM4 trades$5,0000 min
6/6/2026, 5:38:46 PM2 trades$4,6500 min
5/13/2026, 6:11:51 AM28 trades$4,53013 min
4/26/2026, 8:18:10 AM2 trades$4,1000 min
5/19/2026, 7:36:55 PM11 trades$4,0953 min
6/17/2026, 7:01:11 PM16 trades$4,04110 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
05-06
05-22
06-07
06-23
07-10
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84 / M0.7 / H15.3