@belsky-srt1

#3,120,04016

0xa536d5bf5f0754bb968c6a079adacdd084a3c38c

~26d· 18 markets · 326 tradesVol: $98,6002026-09-10 22:07:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (7/15)8.3/20
0.61x (win $12,337 / loss $20,153)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6510/15
Sortino -3.9940/10
$-0.1992 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2288 (15 markets)1.1/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($17,165 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 25.5 entries/market

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,653,158$-9,835Vol: $95,693
📈 ECONOMICS#685,288$-456Vol: $2,123
💰 FINANCE#658,527$-451Vol: $784

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,742
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$98,600
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
64B / 262S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-255
Vol: $0
Week
$-361
Vol: $0
Month
$-212
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10,742
Vol: $98,600

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
7W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-9,869
Win Rate
47%
7W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$1,762
Avg Loss
$-3,359

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,854 (0.8971701630945818% of PnL)

Top Winners

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$3,508
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$3,410
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,936
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1,712
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$1,052
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$621
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$97

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-8,638
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-7,828
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-1,954
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-1,416
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-185
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-132

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.182
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
2524
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.177
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.3%
Top-5 markets
87.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 667s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)78.1%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 6:49:51 AM25 trades$19,1260 min
6/12/2026, 10:02:30 AM20 trades$4,5530 min
7/8/2026, 10:35:25 AM16 trades$3,9511 min
6/18/2026, 5:43:35 AM18 trades$2,9720 min
7/23/2026, 5:33:21 AM7 trades$2,9241 min
8/20/2026, 5:25:42 PM10 trades$2,7951 min
6/20/2026, 10:44:20 AM20 trades$2,5400 min
7/29/2026, 5:12:15 AM2 trades$2,0400 min
7/30/2026, 6:39:24 PM4 trades$2,0310 min
6/19/2026, 9:12:52 PM3 trades$2,0170 min
8/27/2026, 3:49:34 PM10 trades$1,9760 min
6/19/2026, 7:34:53 AM20 trades$1,9012 min
6/23/2026, 7:20:53 AM2 trades$1,8750 min
8/16/2026, 2:37:45 PM2 trades$1,8620 min
8/16/2026, 12:34:09 PM2 trades$1,8590 min
6/14/2026, 9:38:37 AM4 trades$1,6770 min
8/21/2026, 5:21:40 AM1 trades$1,6020 min
7/10/2026, 3:47:05 PM17 trades$1,5250 min
6/19/2026, 9:37:47 AM18 trades$1,4890 min
8/12/2026, 9:56:52 AM5 trades$1,3380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-14
06-18
06-19
06-20
07-23
07-29
08-07
08-08
08-12
08-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M18.8 / H78.1