betwick

@betwick

#33849

0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a

~374d· 645 markets · 23607 tradesVol: $35,607,407 @Betwick12026-08-01 23:11:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (384/637)15.1/20
1.08x (win $1,808,129 / loss $1,673,212)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3536.6/15
Sortino 0.4594.6/10
$+0.0114 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 107 (637 markets)10/10
151/241 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($634,356 / $729,598)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+591,010
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 35.5 entries/market
Whale
$11,788,389 invested
Consistent
151/241 profitable days
High Roller
$25,795/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#133$395,825Vol: $20,376,392
🎭 CULTURE#53$110,897Vol: $5,098,179
📈 ECONOMICS#682,271$-127,202Vol: $4,560,649
💻 TECH#258,252$-47,810Vol: $2,926,778
CRYPTO#324$103,325Vol: $1,056,461
💰 FINANCE#30$95,890Vol: $624,708
📢 MENTIONS#49$37,786Vol: $603,761
SPORTS#2,939$19,234Vol: $347,997

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$594,589
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,607,407
Total Redeem
$188,620
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
645
total markets
Trades
16591B / 7016S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~374d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,011
Vol: $0
Week
$9,765
Vol: $61,617
Month
$1,011
Vol: $0
All Time
$594,589
Vol: $35,607,407

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
384W / 253L events
Realized PnL
$591,010
Win Rate
60%
384W / 253L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$4,709
Avg Loss
$-6,666

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $405,833 (0.6866777439813757% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$167,052
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$141,487
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$97,294
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$67,830
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$60,400
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$58,043
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$51,628
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$38,206
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$31,963
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$31,547

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-155,333
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-152,979
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-148,764
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-105,609
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-100,651
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-70,512
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-57,159
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-56,419
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-53,082
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$-44,102

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.016
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
51.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 5.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock52 trades/day — mass trading1.4 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.5%
High (>55c)32.7%

Sessions

#12
12/23/2025, 8:07:15 AM6 trades$241,2939 min
4/1/2026, 3:15:13 PM9 trades$202,87319 min
6/2/2026, 10:52:22 AM3 trades$197,8000 min
12/10/2025, 10:25:08 PM82 trades$170,70613 min
1/20/2026, 3:34:52 PM5 trades$141,3212 min
6/24/2026, 1:27:37 PM41 trades$127,2840 min
6/24/2026, 3:26:49 PM74 trades$123,6161 min
5/6/2026, 10:38:26 AM9 trades$123,1223 min
1/23/2026, 9:22:16 AM2 trades$117,3310 min
6/21/2026, 4:42:11 PM45 trades$108,0170 min
5/3/2025, 7:24:54 AM4 trades$104,7921 min
6/1/2026, 5:08:01 PM1 trades$101,6730 min
6/2/2026, 9:38:35 AM26 trades$99,1005 min
12/8/2025, 2:22:05 PM4 trades$96,8663 min
5/12/2026, 11:12:32 AM37 trades$95,7680 min
6/3/2025, 12:59:38 PM2 trades$87,6324 min
1/21/2026, 9:39:38 PM49 trades$87,00031 min
3/5/2026, 5:27:27 PM2 trades$85,7415 min
5/30/2025, 5:22:47 PM3 trades$84,0433 min
2/24/2026, 8:11:04 AM2 trades$82,1274 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
06-23
08-08
10-17
12-14
02-26
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.8 / M19.5 / H32.7