billy578

@billy578

#3,059,19866

0x9a92f72bbc78028f6e222df0b9f1a6238a533c67

~14d· 33 markets · 335 tradesVol: $255,9482026-08-23 11:00:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (14/32)6.9/20
1.91x (win $39,788 / loss $20,874)13.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.72115/15
Sortino 12.53910/10
$+0.2170 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1204 (32 markets)6.5/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($12,808 / $18,914)0.5/10

Badges

2
Whale
$87,179 invested
High Roller
$1,406/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#14,512$3,091Vol: $204,707
CRYPTO#1,690,970$-6,272Vol: $51,013
💰 FINANCE#637,945$-100Vol: $227

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,281
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$255,948
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
69B / 266S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$570
Vol: $0
Week
$1,936
Vol: $0
Month
$610
Vol: $88,170
All Time
$-3,281
Vol: $255,948

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
14W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-2,579
Win Rate
44%
14W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$2,842
Avg Loss
$-1,305

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,804 (10.003651955463202% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)$11,017
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$8,384
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$6,403
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$3,667
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)$2,063
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)$1,762
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,600
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1,353
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)$1,236
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1,067

Top Losers

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-6,072
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-3,600
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-2,600
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)$-2,000
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$-1,811
UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$-800
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-800
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-800
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-800
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-403

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.287
Sortino
0.638
HHI
1396
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.212
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
70.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 209s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.9%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)63.8%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 11:57:28 PM6 trades$40,2593 min
8/9/2026, 2:49:58 AM2 trades$27,2110 min
7/10/2026, 9:16:22 PM2 trades$11,8920 min
7/25/2026, 3:43:58 PM12 trades$10,0939 min
6/12/2026, 3:19:40 PM145 trades$8,79612 min
8/9/2026, 2:16:09 AM2 trades$7,5180 min
7/25/2026, 5:39:01 PM3 trades$7,0350 min
7/25/2026, 5:06:25 PM8 trades$6,4055 min
8/9/2026, 1:57:07 AM2 trades$6,1020 min
6/21/2026, 6:42:16 PM2 trades$4,1430 min
7/25/2026, 4:39:37 PM2 trades$3,6000 min
7/27/2026, 3:47:21 AM22 trades$3,5670 min
8/12/2026, 5:01:37 PM22 trades$2,9840 min
6/12/2026, 10:27:52 AM10 trades$2,6034 min
8/9/2026, 1:36:39 AM5 trades$2,5840 min
7/25/2026, 3:34:36 PM2 trades$2,3810 min
7/21/2026, 12:19:52 PM19 trades$2,3000 min
6/15/2026, 5:19:04 AM2 trades$1,9800 min
6/15/2026, 1:13:57 AM6 trades$1,7663 min
6/15/2026, 2:12:18 AM8 trades$1,7220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-14
06-21
07-12
07-21
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.9 / M33.3 / H63.8