Polydata
bobe2

@bobe2

#6996

0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5

1162d· 1821 markets · 38990 tradesVol: $265,188,271 @elm_cap2026-07-03T07:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 2.24x15/15
Sharpe 0.59011/15
Sortino 20095524.83210/10
EV $+0.29810/10
HHI 18110/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader bobe2 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, ranking #69 globally with a net profit of over $2 million. With nearly 39,000 trades across 387 markets and a total volume exceeding $265 million, bobe2 demonstrates consistent engagement over 1,278 days. Their elite Smart Score of 96/100 highlights strong trading skill, supported by a portfolio value approaching $7.4 million and an upward equity trend.

bobe2’s strategy involves a diverse market selection, avoiding weather-related markets entirely, and focusing on a low sell percentage of 5%, reflecting a long-hold approach. The trader exhibits a balanced risk profile with a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.59 and no max drawdown duration, suggesting disciplined risk management. Their semi-automated style, indicated by a bot score of 65/100, combines algorithmic and manual trading, likely enabling timely entries and dollar-cost averaging, as noted by their badges.

Strengths of bobe2 include a robust profit factor and a reputation for steady profitability, confirmed by badges like “Profitable” and “Diamond Hands.” However, their win rate of 48.1% and relatively low profit factor of 0.01 may signal occasional volatility or small-margin trades. Still, the overall data portrays bobe2 as a resilient and methodical trader on Polymarket with a strong track record and effective risk mitigation.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+2,004,554
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 96.0 entries/market
Win Streak
79 wins in a row
Whale
$160,615,647
Consistent
108/109 days
High Roller
$125,677/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#46$802,669Vol: $127,082,168
📈 ECONOMICS#2$876,199Vol: $71,426,636
CRYPTO#194$146,612Vol: $21,259,586
🎭 CULTURE#28$142,709Vol: $20,973,039
📢 MENTIONS#86$23,490Vol: $9,509,641
💻 TECH#66$20,563Vol: $5,737,050
💰 FINANCE#367$13,687Vol: $5,558,549
SPORTS#1,789,887$-31,420Vol: $3,107,876
🌤️ WEATHER#1,683$846Vol: $77,450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,004,554
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,188,271
Total Redeem
$5,325,837
Portfolio
$7,395,931
Predictions
1821
total markets
Trades
37133B / 1857S
Daily Volume
$125,677
Account Age
1162d
since Apr 29, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$1,053
Vol: $33,799
Week
$18,587
Vol: $1,347,919
Month
$12,602
Vol: $560,325
All Time
$2,004,554
Vol: $265,188,271

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
255W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$2,152,812
Win Rate
48%
150W / 162L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$6,673
Avg Loss
$-902,516

Top Winners

Trump out as President by June 30?$171,410
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$139,280
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$129,466
Trump out as President by April 30?$104,377
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$75,462
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$44,175
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$39,507
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?$35,615
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$30,107
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$27,701

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-6,956,857
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-6,926,402
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-6,417,435
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-6,349,659
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 3$-4,712,902
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-4,544,120
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$-4,379,703
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-4,128,964
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$-3,957,901
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$-3,841,478

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.590
Sortino
inf
HHI
181
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.0
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — typical for humanSize CV 8.36 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness55 trades/day — mass trading323 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
96
Heavy DCA
<=1
35 entries
<=2
53 entries
<=5
103 entries
<=10
150 entries
<=20
201 entries
<=50
256 entries
>50
131 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)99.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56.2%

Denver$2
Miami$0
Los Angeles$0
Austin$0
Warsh$-162,479
New York City$-929,517
Other$-144,114,615

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
277

Single bracket

<=1
220 brackets
<=2
252 brackets
<=3
268 brackets
<=4
270 brackets
<=5
272 brackets
<=8
275 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/25/2024, 12:12:13 AM1 trades$4,1990 min
7/25/2024, 1:24:21 AM1 trades$1950 min
7/25/2024, 4:25:49 AM1 trades$2,0970 min
7/25/2024, 6:27:38 AM2 trades$9581 min
8/1/2024, 2:05:16 PM1 trades$22,1620 min
8/1/2024, 2:10:48 PM3 trades$552 min
8/1/2024, 2:23:30 PM1 trades$150 min
8/1/2024, 2:45:34 PM1 trades$280 min
8/1/2024, 2:56:04 PM2 trades$2,7474 min
8/1/2024, 3:22:20 PM1 trades$8580 min
8/1/2024, 3:39:02 PM2 trades$352 min
8/1/2024, 4:23:28 PM1 trades$1760 min
8/1/2024, 5:14:56 PM2 trades$1,1250 min
8/5/2024, 3:48:01 AM1 trades$6,0000 min
8/5/2024, 4:13:09 AM2 trades$7,7115 min
8/6/2024, 8:41:59 AM2 trades$181,3181 min
8/7/2024, 8:40:56 PM1 trades$40,0000 min
8/20/2024, 12:14:37 AM1 trades$1890 min
8/20/2024, 12:33:23 AM1 trades$15,0650 min
8/20/2024, 12:38:33 AM2 trades$1,5724 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-05
03-31
09-30
02-28
06-16
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 96/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event