Polydata
Data is 3 days old — refreshing in background...
bobe2

@bobe2

#7196

0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5

1160d· 1810 markets · 18720 tradesVol: $264,268,635 @elm_cap2026-06-29T23:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 5.88x15/15
Sharpe 0.59611/15
Sortino 20961812.09610/10
EV $+0.30810/10
HHI 57410/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

bobe2 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 71st on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of nearly $2 million. Over 1,097 days, they have executed 18,720 trades across 251 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $264 million. Their portfolio value stands over $7.2 million, supported by a strong Smart Score of 96, placing them in the elite category of traders.

This trader favors a diverse range of markets but maintains a low sell percentage of 4%, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. With a win rate of 13.2% and a semi-automated trading style suggested by a bot score of 55, bobe2 likely combines algorithmic and manual strategies. Their moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.60 and zero max drawdown duration suggest a balanced risk approach, with steady timing and an upward equity trend that reflects consistent portfolio growth.

bobe2’s key strengths include a high Smart Score, significant trading volume, and consistent profitability, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, their relatively low win rate and zero profit factor imply that many trades may break even or incur losses balanced by large winning trades. The semi-bot trading style may introduce operational risks, but overall bobe2 demonstrates disciplined and effective trading on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+1,987,169
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Whale
$58,848,252
Consistent
104/105 days
High Roller
$46,047/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#46$788,557Vol: $126,579,278
📈 ECONOMICS#2$875,648Vol: $71,123,665
CRYPTO#192$146,177Vol: $21,243,570
🎭 CULTURE#28$141,430Vol: $20,951,094
📢 MENTIONS#85$23,490Vol: $9,509,641
💻 TECH#65$20,486Vol: $5,737,046
💰 FINANCE#386$12,972Vol: $5,535,309
SPORTS#1,772,575$-31,590Vol: $3,055,306
🌤️ WEATHER#1,729$804Vol: $77,448

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,987,169
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,268,635
Total Redeem
$75,043
Portfolio
$7,246,128
Predictions
1810
total markets
Trades
17914B / 806S
Daily Volume
$46,047
Account Age
1160d
since Apr 29, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$1,201
Vol: $223,165
Week
$1,201
Vol: $428,283
Month
$155,750
Vol: $29,441,746
All Time
$1,987,169
Vol: $264,268,635

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
321W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$2,102,710
Win Rate
13%
7W / 46L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$19,833
Avg Loss
$-1,082,863

Top Winners

Trump out as President by April 30?$104,377
Netanyahu out by April 30?$20,473
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$8,483
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$1,996
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight$1,589
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Ma$1,153
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterwei$761

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-6,956,857
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-6,417,435
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-4,544,120
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$-3,957,901
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$-3,841,478
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-3,315,068
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-3,232,038
Trump kiss by May 31?$-2,890,483
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-2,497,500
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-2,457,139

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.596
Sortino
inf
HHI
574
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.308
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
44.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
65.7
Very active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.6m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — typical for humanSize CV 13.31 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness66 trades/day — mass trading452 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
27 entries
<=2
44 entries
<=5
89 entries
<=10
126 entries
<=20
158 entries
<=50
187 entries
>50
64 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)99.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40%

Denver$0
Miami$0
Warsh$-162,479
Other$-49,510,408

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
172

Single bracket

<=1
134 brackets
<=2
153 brackets
<=3
164 brackets
<=4
166 brackets
<=5
168 brackets
<=8
171 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/18/2025, 6:12:40 AM1 trades$2850 min
9/29/2025, 11:15:35 AM1 trades$10 min
10/1/2025, 5:35:25 PM1 trades$2840 min
10/2/2025, 1:04:13 AM1 trades$120 min
10/19/2025, 1:40:49 PM1 trades$4750 min
10/21/2025, 8:48:48 AM1 trades$30 min
10/21/2025, 8:57:04 AM1 trades$380 min
10/21/2025, 9:11:04 AM1 trades$20 min
10/21/2025, 9:17:24 AM1 trades$370 min
10/21/2025, 9:31:32 AM1 trades$10 min
10/21/2025, 2:43:53 PM1 trades$3980 min
10/28/2025, 4:12:03 PM2 trades$560 min
10/29/2025, 10:52:39 AM1 trades$640 min
10/29/2025, 11:51:21 AM2 trades$2420 min
10/30/2025, 6:21:43 PM1 trades$830 min
10/31/2025, 2:52:59 AM1 trades$800 min
10/31/2025, 5:12:01 AM1 trades$400 min
10/31/2025, 7:56:04 AM1 trades$40 min
10/31/2025, 11:59:52 AM4 trades$1,1744 min
11/1/2025, 3:42:37 PM1 trades$1,5650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-30
01-31
07-30
01-01
05-14
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event