Polydata
boyau

@boyau

#21679

0xe734e7bf7cfb9e464681f71822f6c2f6be514f0c

~147d· 215 markets · 42011 tradesVol: $38,680,2982026-07-31 11:50:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (77/198)4.4/20
2.34x (win $3,465,913 / loss $1,479,902)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.47315/15
Sortino 11.79410/10
$+0.2590 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 206 (198 markets)10/10
38/79 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($319,399 / $1,986,011)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+869,407
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Whale
$7,667,440 invested
High Roller
$15,712/day
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#4$622,425Vol: $21,369,360
SPORTS#2,402$23,991Vol: $7,068,734
🏛️ POLITICS#1,746$26,571Vol: $6,617,015
CRYPTO#1,670,726$-12,486Vol: $566,182
📈 ECONOMICS#388$18,651Vol: $75,220

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$869,407
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,680,298
Total Redeem
$113,362
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
215
total markets
Trades
23891B / 18120S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,791
Vol: $169,572
Week
$-30,021
Vol: $1,955,932
Month
$34,452
Vol: $5,946,890
All Time
$869,407
Vol: $38,680,298

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
39%
77W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$869,407
Win Rate
39%
77W / 121L
Profit Factor
2.34x
Avg Win
$45,012
Avg Loss
$-12,982

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,300,534 (1.4958857705105715% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$544,734
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$410,956
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$344,843
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$272,784
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$199,361
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$149,307
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$144,426
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?$114,788
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$104,274
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$101,327

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$-157,971
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$-107,336
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$-95,578
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$-79,670
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$-76,476
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-73,888
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-73,855
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-68,782
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$-51,602
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$-48,917

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
0.485
HHI
168
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.282
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
86.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.8m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
60.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 5.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock86 trades/day — mass trading0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
201.49
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.3%
High (>55c)27.7%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 12:30:12 PM58 trades$192,6114 min
5/29/2026, 10:47:39 PM21 trades$160,6900 min
6/19/2026, 6:17:02 AM66 trades$147,16119 min
5/4/2026, 10:03:58 AM207 trades$140,89535 min
7/29/2026, 1:44:32 AM26 trades$131,9301 min
7/22/2026, 3:45:39 PM12 trades$120,6614 min
6/9/2026, 2:28:55 PM140 trades$117,89824 min
4/21/2026, 7:55:38 PM119 trades$117,32222 min
5/29/2026, 11:03:20 PM34 trades$113,1757 min
6/17/2026, 5:09:16 AM7 trades$106,5770 min
6/17/2026, 5:16:59 AM2 trades$95,3120 min
4/24/2026, 3:29:20 PM145 trades$94,11034 min
5/29/2026, 11:24:20 PM25 trades$87,6574 min
5/4/2026, 3:55:00 PM288 trades$86,450124 min
6/4/2026, 12:10:45 PM26 trades$81,5947 min
4/19/2026, 9:25:40 PM140 trades$79,84419 min
4/7/2026, 8:07:19 AM104 trades$79,63432 min
4/2/2026, 2:50:35 AM8 trades$78,8341 min
6/5/2026, 1:58:43 PM66 trades$75,02214 min
7/28/2026, 3:27:08 PM23 trades$73,6672 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-26
04-29
05-25
06-11
06-27
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 201.49/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.9 / M32.3 / H27.7