Polydata

@buoys

#2,38958

0x7e35a2a8cfd1eb1e69dacd043206db5a787f1a6c

~487d· 1759 markets · 31850 tradesVol: $4,354,816 @PolyBuoys2026-07-31 23:29:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (733/1453)10.2/20
1.21x (win $174,099 / loss $144,265)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.03615/15
Sortino 1.88510/10
$+0.0337 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 86 (1453 markets)10/10
202/374 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($27,504 / $32,145)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+77,780
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Whale
$885,555 invested
High Roller
$1,789/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#810$62,517Vol: $2,927,857
🎭 CULTURE#933$8,794Vol: $1,175,812
💰 FINANCE#4,636$874Vol: $79,033
SPORTS#47,112$707Vol: $77,883
📈 ECONOMICS#2,145$1,759Vol: $51,087
🌤️ WEATHER#1,032$1,793Vol: $21,954
💻 TECH#1,658$769Vol: $16,162
📢 MENTIONS#4,079$194Vol: $1,946
CRYPTO#184,340$19Vol: $135

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$77,489
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,354,816
Total Redeem
$1,681
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1759
total markets
Trades
21949B / 9901S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~487d

Periods

#2
Today
$-650
Vol: $13,560
Week
$612
Vol: $70,536
Month
$-19,996
Vol: $396,603
All Time
$77,489
Vol: $4,354,816

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
733W / 720L events
Realized PnL
$77,780
Win Rate
50%
733W / 720L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$238
Avg Loss
$-209

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,759 (0.42117161015205873% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$18,731
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$7,543
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$6,486
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5,815
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?$4,294
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?$2,314
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2,312
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2,076
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1,682
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1,640

Top Losers

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-8,732
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-4,929
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-4,152
Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?$-3,346
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3,086
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$-3,062
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?$-2,989
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$-2,872
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-2,693
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-2,459

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.075
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 351s — normal for humanCV 5.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading3.6 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.23
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)27%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 10:27:05 AM41 trades$46,16717 min
4/15/2026, 4:36:02 PM2 trades$19,4330 min
7/25/2026, 10:27:28 PM44 trades$12,9841 min
4/15/2026, 1:37:10 PM59 trades$10,9825 min
4/3/2025, 8:57:26 PM4 trades$9,1203 min
4/14/2025, 1:30:25 AM4 trades$9,0395 min
4/11/2025, 11:32:24 PM3 trades$7,8983 min
3/31/2025, 3:21:13 PM4 trades$7,8903 min
7/16/2026, 7:11:55 PM13 trades$7,4160 min
5/10/2026, 1:05:37 PM35 trades$6,9006 min
6/5/2026, 12:20:42 AM17 trades$5,7112 min
4/14/2026, 6:56:46 PM16 trades$5,62415 min
4/14/2026, 7:17:24 PM4 trades$5,0231 min
11/21/2025, 2:02:01 PM8 trades$4,8128 min
11/20/2025, 5:39:23 PM4 trades$4,7785 min
4/13/2025, 9:00:23 PM2 trades$4,5191 min
4/15/2026, 11:43:46 AM4 trades$4,5022 min
4/11/2026, 6:12:47 PM4 trades$4,5013 min
7/23/2026, 8:52:24 AM18 trades$4,4050 min
4/13/2026, 11:07:07 PM149 trades$4,30176 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
07-05
10-18
01-04
03-09
05-13
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.9 / M31.2 / H27