buzzedballs

@buzzedballs

#2,941,53838

0xb22085e3eae25e5f96568f84c7b25b9bf7c45f71

~281d· 2384 markets · 13080 tradesVol: $377,0022026-08-02 09:48:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (1756/2198)20/20
0.91x (win $8,685 / loss $9,526)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4420/15
Sortino -0.4810/10
$-0.0037 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 48 (2198 markets)10/10
136/239 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 1685% of peak ($2,589 / $154)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Whale
$226,772 invested
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,539$-1,423Vol: $144,191
SPORTS#58,320$472Vol: $103,250
🌤️ WEATHER#9,327$61Vol: $31,063
🎭 CULTURE#804,606$-397Vol: $28,447
📢 MENTIONS#162,458$-91Vol: $11,877
CRYPTO#1,371,770$-45Vol: $9,186
📈 ECONOMICS#16,115$62Vol: $5,890
💰 FINANCE#627,092$-81Vol: $2,486
💻 TECH#233,793$-19Vol: $349

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$377,002
Total Redeem
$6,397
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2384
total markets
Trades
7337B / 5743S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~281d

Periods

#2
Today
$77
Vol: $2,045
Week
$261
Vol: $2,045
Month
$208
Vol: $4,663
All Time
$-1,162
Vol: $377,002

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
1756W / 442L events
Realized PnL
$-1,197
Win Rate
80%
1756W / 442L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $756 (0.6311753404059812% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$273
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$264
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$219
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$158
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$131
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$127
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$116
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$112
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$111
Will Çilekler Win the Challengers 2026: EMEA Last Chance Qualifier?$104

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-781
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-508
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-351
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-311
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-281
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-260
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-221
US military action against Iran before July?$-214
Kristi Noem out by March 31?$-190
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-158

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.023
Sortino
-0.017
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
9.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.2%
High (>55c)87.1%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 7:55:40 PM35 trades$7,0577 min
5/15/2026, 7:29:44 PM40 trades$5,76914 min
6/7/2026, 6:59:48 PM109 trades$4,51028 min
6/29/2026, 4:46:13 PM20 trades$3,40612 min
6/8/2026, 6:25:04 AM40 trades$3,25412 min
5/10/2026, 9:10:18 AM20 trades$2,9152 min
5/3/2026, 5:26:26 PM57 trades$2,82717 min
2/28/2026, 7:49:21 AM11 trades$2,7916 min
5/6/2026, 6:05:43 PM8 trades$2,3433 min
6/3/2026, 1:14:08 PM2 trades$2,3110 min
7/19/2026, 2:17:25 PM40 trades$2,10921 min
5/3/2026, 5:49:32 PM104 trades$2,09250 min
4/23/2026, 1:20:00 PM27 trades$1,95813 min
4/30/2026, 5:50:48 PM23 trades$1,9509 min
6/28/2026, 1:05:56 PM87 trades$1,70842 min
7/21/2026, 5:43:19 PM84 trades$1,6747 min
6/21/2026, 12:47:46 PM7 trades$1,5683 min
6/11/2026, 3:00:04 AM8 trades$1,5422 min
3/29/2026, 3:10:08 PM1 trades$1,4840 min
3/29/2026, 5:36:46 PM1 trades$1,4820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
05-25
02-12
03-27
05-06
06-17
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 475 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M8.2 / H87.1