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@c8c28bae

#2,439,02578

0xc8c28bae5a3387505ed318e8ede8d167da3a080b

~106d· 1541 markets · 2183 tradesVol: $56,8952026-05-16T08:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 1.01x3/15
Sharpe 0.96315/15
Sortino 1764.29710/10
EV $+0.0030/10
HHI 5910/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader c8c28bae is moderately active on Polymarket, having completed 2,183 trades across 1,236 markets over 106 days. Despite a high win rate of 83.3%, their net PnL stands at -$235.82, placing them at rank #2,439,025 globally. Their total trading volume is substantial at $56,895, but the portfolio value remains low at $43.14, indicating limited capital growth.

This trader exhibits a consistent and steady trading style, reflected in a Smart Score of 78 and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.96. They avoid selling positions, suggesting a preference for holding outcomes rather than quick flips. Their Profit Factor of 1.01 and zero max drawdown duration point to a low-risk, low-volatility approach. The top badges such as Sniper and Cool Head imply disciplined entry timing and emotional control, while the semi-bot score indicates a mix of automated and manual trading strategies.

The main strength of c8c28bae lies in their consistency and risk management, as shown by their stable equity trend and strong win rate. However, the slight negative net PnL and low portfolio value highlight challenges in converting wins into significant profits. Their current strategy may limit upside potential, and the lack of diversification into weather markets or aggressive selling could restrict performance growth on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
72 wins in a row
Consistent
41/44 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,538,042$-233Vol: $56,888

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-236
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$56,895
Total Redeem
$14,809
Portfolio
$43
Predictions
1541
total markets
Trades
2182B / 1S
Daily Volume
$190
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-260
Vol: $2,815
Month
$-160
Vol: $8,239
All Time
$-236
Vol: $56,895

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
229W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$8,394
Win Rate
83%
663W / 133L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $662 (1719.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$278
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?$193
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5$191
Flyers vs. Penguins$131
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$124
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$123
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)$114
Golden Knights vs. Utah$108
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays$107
Suns vs. Lakers$106

Top Losers

Knicks vs. 76ers$-404
Wuning: Jie Cui vs August Holmgren$-286
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$-266
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants$-210
Rockets vs. Suns$-206
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner$-181
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Ethan Cook$-155
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgren$-153
CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5$-139
Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzige$-133

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.963
Sortino
inf
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
61.4%
Half-Kelly
30.7%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
56.3
Very active
Markets / Day
31.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.9m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 110s — typical for humanSize CV 2.34 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness56 trades/day — mass trading32 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
830 entries
<=2
1048 entries
<=5
1190 entries
<=10
1228 entries
<=20
1234 entries
<=50
1236 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)45.2%
High (>55c)51%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.6%

Los Angeles$397
Paris$79
Miami$61
Other$36
Seattle$36
Seoul$11
Toronto$11
Milan$7
Houston$7
Atlanta$4
Shenzhen$3
Austin$3
Shanghai$3
Chongqing$2
Chengdu$1
New York City$0
Dallas$0
Wellington$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
911

Single bracket

<=1
678 brackets
<=2
840 brackets
<=3
896 brackets
<=4
906 brackets
<=5
910 brackets
<=8
911 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 3:33:51 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 3:54:15 AM2 trades$144 min
4/7/2026, 4:10:31 AM2 trades$2141 min
4/7/2026, 4:17:03 AM1 trades$40 min
4/7/2026, 4:24:25 AM5 trades$1722 min
4/7/2026, 4:47:09 AM1 trades$30 min
4/7/2026, 4:52:39 AM5 trades$895 min
4/7/2026, 5:10:45 AM2 trades$191 min
4/7/2026, 5:19:19 AM27 trades$22022 min
4/7/2026, 5:51:13 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 6:14:47 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 7:26:17 AM4 trades$1302 min
4/7/2026, 7:34:15 AM5 trades$1798 min
4/7/2026, 7:51:55 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 7:59:53 AM1 trades$200 min
4/7/2026, 8:39:05 AM2 trades$143 min
4/7/2026, 9:20:15 AM1 trades$470 min
4/7/2026, 9:27:37 AM2 trades$390 min
4/7/2026, 9:36:27 AM1 trades$20 min
4/7/2026, 11:47:03 AM2 trades$1921 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-12
04-19
04-26
05-05
05-12
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event