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@c8c28bae

#2,569,00942

0xc8c28bae5a3387505ed318e8ede8d167da3a080b

~106d· 1605 markets · 2205 tradesVol: $58,0142026-06-06T08:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.96x2/15
HHI 5910/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 51888%0/10

Summary

Trader c8c28bae is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 2,205 trades across 1,259 markets over 106 days. Despite a high win rate of 83%, their net PnL stands at -$378.29, placing them at rank #2,569,009 globally. Their total traded volume is substantial at $58,014, yet the portfolio value remains low at $25.57, indicating limited capital growth. The trader’s Smart Score of 42/100 reflects average overall performance.

The trading style of c8c28bae appears diversified across many markets, with no focus on weather-related events. Their 0% sell rate and badges like Diamond Hands suggest a hold strategy rather than frequent profit-taking. The semi-bot score of 55/100 implies a blend of automated and manual trading. Their Sharpe ratio near zero and a profit factor below 1 indicate a risk profile that does not currently compensate well for the risk taken. The absence of max drawdown duration suggests resilience against extended losses.

Strengths of c8c28bae include a strong consistency and a high win rate, supported by badges like Sniper and Win Streak. However, the persistent negative PnL and low portfolio value highlight potential issues with trade sizing or market selection. The trader’s upward equity trend is a positive sign but should be monitored carefully given the overall negative profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
72 wins in a row
Consistent
39/50 days

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,606,632$-375Vol: $58,006

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-378
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,014
Total Redeem
$14,558
Portfolio
$26
Predictions
1605
total markets
Trades
2200B / 5S
Daily Volume
$191
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$11
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-378
Vol: $58,014

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
227W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$8,478
Win Rate
83%
672W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-42

Top Winners

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$278
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?$193
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5$191
Flyers vs. Penguins$131
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$124
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$123
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)$114
Golden Knights vs. Utah$108
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays$107
Suns vs. Lakers$106

Top Losers

Knicks vs. 76ers$-404
Wuning: Jie Cui vs August Holmgren$-286
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$-266
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants$-210
Rockets vs. Suns$-206
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner$-181
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Ethan Cook$-155
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgren$-153
CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5$-139
Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzige$-133

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.016
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
60.9%
Half-Kelly
30.4%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
10.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.2
Active
Markets / Day
25.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.8m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 128s — typical for humanSize CV 2.35 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.94 — human randomness44 trades/day — suspiciously high25 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
855 entries
<=2
1070 entries
<=5
1213 entries
<=10
1251 entries
<=20
1257 entries
<=50
1259 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)46%
High (>55c)50.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.6%

Los Angeles$398
Paris$75
Miami$65
Seattle$37
Toronto$15
Seoul$11
Milan$7
Houston$7
Atlanta$6
Shenzhen$3
Austin$3
Shanghai$3
Chongqing$2
Chengdu$1
New York City$0
Dallas$0
Wellington$0
Beijing$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
932

Single bracket

<=1
699 brackets
<=2
860 brackets
<=3
917 brackets
<=4
926 brackets
<=5
931 brackets
<=8
932 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 3:33:51 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 3:54:15 AM2 trades$144 min
4/7/2026, 4:10:31 AM2 trades$2141 min
4/7/2026, 4:17:03 AM1 trades$40 min
4/7/2026, 4:24:25 AM5 trades$1722 min
4/7/2026, 4:43:21 AM2 trades$264 min
4/7/2026, 4:52:39 AM6 trades$926 min
4/7/2026, 5:10:45 AM2 trades$191 min
4/7/2026, 5:19:19 AM28 trades$24122 min
4/7/2026, 5:51:13 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 6:14:47 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 7:26:17 AM4 trades$1302 min
4/7/2026, 7:34:15 AM5 trades$1798 min
4/7/2026, 7:51:55 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 7:59:53 AM1 trades$200 min
4/7/2026, 8:37:29 AM4 trades$734 min
4/7/2026, 9:17:51 AM2 trades$542 min
4/7/2026, 9:27:37 AM2 trades$390 min
4/7/2026, 9:36:27 AM1 trades$20 min
4/7/2026, 11:47:03 AM2 trades$1921 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-14
04-22
05-01
05-09
05-18
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event