@caiyingyin

#2,787,1555

0xb72583df18cb34b3646526e2778562b0ab3387c0

~16d· 66 markets · 490 tradesVol: $23,3002026-08-26 09:17:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (5/22)0/20
0.47x (win $63 / loss $135)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.3920/15
Sortino -7.6680/10
$-0.0096 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1456 (22 markets)5.2/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($72 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#628,627$-60Vol: $8,692
🏛️ POLITICS#1,403,342$-24Vol: $4,963
🎭 CULTURE#758,369$-37Vol: $3,845
📈 ECONOMICS#642,366$-29Vol: $2,339
SPORTS#928,587$-1Vol: $1,288
🌤️ WEATHER#283,407$-63Vol: $779
💻 TECH#248,886$-44Vol: $600
📢 MENTIONS#90,122$-1Vol: $96

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-257
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,300
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
324B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-145
Vol: $18,334
All Time
$-257
Vol: $23,300

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
5W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-257
Win Rate
23%
5W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $63 (0.24408958130477118% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$43
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?$20
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$1
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$0

Top Losers

Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?$-43
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 28?$-17
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 26?$-14
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?$-11
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?$-6
Will Russia enter Myrne by March 31, 2026?$-2
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on April 24?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.369
Sortino
-0.459
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.9m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)60.2%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 2:30:33 PM10 trades$3395 min
8/9/2026, 8:36:00 AM8 trades$3051 min
8/11/2026, 8:42:21 PM7 trades$2960 min
8/10/2026, 3:25:30 PM4 trades$2620 min
8/11/2026, 11:08:21 AM21 trades$2600 min
8/12/2026, 6:47:40 AM4 trades$2600 min
8/10/2026, 4:06:49 PM4 trades$2570 min
8/11/2026, 7:57:42 AM4 trades$2570 min
8/11/2026, 3:31:01 PM5 trades$2560 min
8/8/2026, 9:16:36 AM4 trades$2560 min
8/11/2026, 6:07:58 AM4 trades$2530 min
8/11/2026, 10:37:01 PM4 trades$2470 min
8/11/2026, 7:06:37 AM15 trades$2440 min
8/12/2026, 9:38:37 AM4 trades$2430 min
8/11/2026, 12:51:57 AM7 trades$2431 min
8/8/2026, 10:17:15 AM10 trades$2410 min
8/11/2026, 10:41:33 AM4 trades$2410 min
8/12/2026, 2:56:27 PM6 trades$2410 min
8/11/2026, 10:28:15 PM6 trades$2300 min
8/9/2026, 6:52:15 AM8 trades$2254 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-25
03-26
03-27
04-24
04-26
04-28
07-17
07-23
08-08
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.7 / M7.1 / H60.2