Polydata
cambridgeisaac

@cambridgeisaac

#2,03681

0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9

~524d· 1776 markets · 30109 tradesVol: $5,881,7082026-07-31 11:50:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (962/1649)14.2/20
1.63x (win $474,332 / loss $291,099)10.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.77015/15
Sortino 5.44810/10
$+0.0654 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 58 (1649 markets)10/10
212/343 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($38,364 / $191,442)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+93,535
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$2,800,224 invested
Consistent
212/343 profitable days
High Roller
$4,991/day
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#602$82,615Vol: $4,441,712
📈 ECONOMICS#2,536$1,350Vol: $377,147
🎭 CULTURE#1,613$4,747Vol: $310,369
💻 TECH#257,836$-12,318Vol: $278,854
SPORTS#4,586$12,025Vol: $190,276
💰 FINANCE#1,355$3,882Vol: $183,789
CRYPTO#32,775$872Vol: $22,771
🌤️ WEATHER#297,798$-2,541Vol: $21,677
📢 MENTIONS#964$1,414Vol: $6,509

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$93,535
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,881,708
Total Redeem
$93,053
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1776
total markets
Trades
17067B / 13042S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~524d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,118
Vol: $16,985
Week
$9,218
Vol: $131,316
Month
$-954
Vol: $617,681
All Time
$93,535
Vol: $5,881,708

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
58%
962W / 687L events
Realized PnL
$93,535
Win Rate
58%
962W / 687L
Profit Factor
1.63x
Avg Win
$493
Avg Loss
$-443

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $154,231 (1.6489058118289284% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$92,169
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$36,930
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25,132
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$12,330
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9,079
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$8,792
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$8,335
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$7,860
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$7,431
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$6,725

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-25,454
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-15,184
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-14,325
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-11,078
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$-10,696
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-10,425
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-8,414
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-6,738
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$-5,891
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-5,794

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.092
Sortino
0.182
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.6m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 256s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading3.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)78.2%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 8:56:29 PM12 trades$39,94413 min
2/28/2026, 9:42:03 PM23 trades$24,43530 min
3/1/2026, 1:16:13 PM4 trades$19,3324 min
2/3/2026, 10:26:18 AM8 trades$17,3823 min
2/1/2026, 8:23:08 PM7 trades$16,9029 min
11/18/2025, 7:03:45 AM12 trades$16,41923 min
6/24/2026, 1:06:19 PM31 trades$16,13625 min
5/11/2026, 8:17:42 PM56 trades$15,55730 min
6/11/2026, 5:43:21 PM98 trades$13,63221 min
3/1/2026, 1:35:49 PM9 trades$12,91814 min
4/17/2026, 1:19:24 PM60 trades$12,85020 min
5/23/2026, 9:43:22 PM55 trades$11,97613 min
4/30/2026, 6:49:16 PM58 trades$11,65821 min
1/30/2026, 7:10:34 AM13 trades$11,45710 min
4/23/2026, 2:30:08 PM3 trades$11,3972 min
5/20/2026, 2:27:30 PM35 trades$11,33011 min
6/27/2026, 1:22:47 PM31 trades$11,19119 min
5/14/2026, 11:00:25 AM40 trades$10,74315 min
12/9/2025, 1:34:36 PM17 trades$10,64118 min
12/28/2025, 4:19:53 PM3 trades$10,5281 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-01-20 12:00:00
2025-07-26 16:55:00
2025-11-03 03:00:00
2026-01-25 00:00:00
2026-04-12 00:00:00
2026-06-21 14:00:00
2027-12-31 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.1 / M15.7 / H78.2