@capib
650x204b382df532a8106768ccceaf699a89c4ed8ca3
~137d· 872 markets · 21241 trades2026-10-08 01:19:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (400/862)8.2/20
1.16x (win $52,713 / loss $45,294)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.33615/15
Sortino 3.44110/10
$+0.0246 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 48 (862 markets)10/10
75/129 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($1,813 / $7,419)9.1/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+6,986
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 24.6 entries/market
Whale
$301,849 invested
High Roller
$1,372/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,986
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$301,849
Total Redeem
$11,709
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
872
total markets
Trades
15572B / 5669S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
400W / 462L events
Realized PnL
$6,986
Win Rate
46%
400W / 462L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$132
Avg Loss
$-98
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,177 (0.7410014070253937% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$1,839
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1,834
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1,504
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$1,384
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1,364
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 5?$1,341
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$1,264
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$1,258
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1,191
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 8?$1,173
Top Losers
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?$-1,149
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-984
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-948
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-820
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$-790
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$-754
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$-715
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-712
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-698
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$-694
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.135
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
5.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
96.5
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.9m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
30 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.2
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock97 trades/day — mass trading4.0 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
24.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)34.2%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)24.8%
Sessions
#123/4/2026, 4:50:17 PM100 trades$4,40661 min
1/31/2026, 1:53:52 PM96 trades$4,38072 min
6/10/2026, 8:45:28 PM21 trades$3,01014 min
2/10/2026, 1:21:29 PM107 trades$2,59658 min
6/18/2026, 5:52:08 PM66 trades$2,47546 min
3/3/2026, 4:22:57 PM8 trades$2,46013 min
1/30/2026, 3:34:22 PM29 trades$2,45920 min
2/22/2026, 7:59:58 AM117 trades$2,10460 min
2/27/2026, 4:42:45 PM17 trades$2,1025 min
2/9/2026, 4:37:41 PM12 trades$2,0358 min
6/17/2026, 2:31:40 PM57 trades$2,00654 min
2/20/2026, 4:53:32 PM2 trades$1,9350 min
6/17/2026, 5:52:14 PM65 trades$1,93327 min
1/27/2026, 12:43:11 PM72 trades$1,93163 min
6/4/2026, 2:37:10 PM8 trades$1,9205 min
2/4/2026, 4:44:15 PM1 trades$1,8510 min
2/23/2026, 4:52:34 PM4 trades$1,8332 min
2/19/2026, 8:13:56 AM74 trades$1,81842 min
2/6/2026, 4:37:13 PM21 trades$1,8068 min
3/7/2026, 8:47:19 AM33 trades$1,79125 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-27
02-18
03-19
05-13
06-25
08-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.2 / M41 / H24.8