@capnjack1497

#3,110,35817

0xebbba265a23a5c13d94051b4be1090101e024214

~60d· 127 markets · 2803 tradesVol: $3,141,3912026-08-26 09:12:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (45/127)2.7/20
0.83x (win $834,857 / loss $1,001,147)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7850/15
Sortino -2.1870/10
$-0.1209 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 260 (127 markets)10/10
28/60 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 562% of peak ($323,467 / $57,583)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
80% entries < $0.55
Whale
$1,375,297 invested
High Roller
$13,753/day

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-65,719
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,141,391
Total Redeem
$333,277
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
1343B / 1460S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
45W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-65,719
Win Rate
35%
45W / 82L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$18,552
Avg Loss
$-12,209

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $259,222 (3.944418635756295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kings vs. Canucks$99,594
Oilers vs. Utah$94,435
Maple Leafs vs. Jets$65,193
Senators vs. Devils$48,102
Red Wings vs. Lightning$47,525
Golden Knights vs. Kraken$43,162
Predators vs. Kings$29,570
Bruins vs. Hurricanes$24,516
Sabres vs. Ducks$24,035
Ducks vs. Flames$21,830

Top Losers

Flames vs. Stars$-92,589
Canucks vs. Sharks$-72,000
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings$-69,747
Predators vs. Kings$-56,448
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$-56,000
Panthers vs. Canadiens$-54,256
Canucks vs. Ducks$-43,587
Avalanche vs. Oilers$-41,924
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche$-40,000
Bruins vs. Flyers$-31,635

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.121
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
42.7m
between trades
Night Trading
93%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)93% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule28 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)76.2%
High (>55c)19.9%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:37:57 AM267 trades$128,3586 min
4/8/2026, 3:34:27 AM99 trades$116,0543 min
4/14/2026, 1:34:57 AM146 trades$110,0206 min
4/14/2026, 4:13:05 AM17 trades$107,3373 min
4/8/2026, 2:30:51 AM196 trades$105,17410 min
4/15/2026, 4:41:18 AM65 trades$99,6142 min
4/7/2026, 5:11:43 AM39 trades$56,4491 min
4/12/2026, 4:41:21 AM109 trades$53,1572 min
4/8/2026, 4:16:53 AM61 trades$44,9461 min
4/10/2026, 4:43:19 AM79 trades$41,4861 min
4/8/2026, 1:49:15 AM132 trades$38,9796 min
1/18/2026, 1:52:20 AM39 trades$38,8348 min
4/13/2026, 2:43:35 AM61 trades$37,9757 min
4/12/2026, 2:44:41 AM91 trades$37,9111 min
4/13/2026, 1:31:49 AM61 trades$36,8851 min
4/14/2026, 4:02:21 AM81 trades$36,5941 min
4/5/2026, 10:21:15 PM30 trades$31,5472 min
4/3/2026, 5:40:09 AM31 trades$28,7852 min
3/27/2026, 3:40:25 AM26 trades$26,0007 min
3/23/2026, 2:41:41 AM22 trades$21,0024 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-28
02-28
03-10
03-21
04-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.9 / M76.2 / H19.9