@carlgolden89
#2,658,51350x39ea2f1efa6186279ee9ed616826fdfdb649a14f
~24d· 27 markets · 73 tradesVol: $15,9152026-09-21 20:10:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
14% (3/22)0/20
0.41x (win $113 / loss $277)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5040/15
Sortino -6.1710/10
$-0.0157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1436 (22 markets)5.3/10
2/20 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($165 / $0)0/10
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,188,781$-6Vol: $8,720
⚽ SPORTS#1,726,961$-120Vol: $7,166
🎭 CULTURE#401,976$-0Vol: $29
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-126
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,915
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
33B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-126
Vol: $15,915
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
14%
3W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-124
Win Rate
14%
3W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $113 (0.9097367996124657% of PnL)
Top Winners
Blues vs. Red Wings$102
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers$6
MLB All-Star Game$5
Top Losers
Chiefs vs. Steelers$-103
Hawks vs. Spurs$-103
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-39
Buccaneers vs. Texans$-27
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$-2
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$-1
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Fulham wins the Premier League?$-1
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.332
Sortino
-0.311
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.371
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16336s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)60.6%
Sessions
#128/15/2026, 10:50:33 AM4 trades$2,0192 min
8/14/2026, 4:03:57 PM4 trades$2,0162 min
8/15/2026, 8:58:31 AM4 trades$2,0163 min
8/14/2026, 7:05:37 PM4 trades$2,0112 min
8/13/2026, 3:49:03 PM2 trades$1,0110 min
8/15/2026, 1:12:46 PM20 trades$1,0090 min
12/19/2024, 9:39:00 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/23/2024, 10:15:10 PM1 trades$1030 min
12/23/2024, 1:49:06 AM1 trades$1020 min
12/13/2024, 10:42:38 AM2 trades$411 min
9/15/2025, 6:27:40 AM1 trades$270 min
5/8/2025, 7:57:45 AM1 trades$90 min
5/8/2025, 12:25:05 PM1 trades$90 min
7/29/2025, 8:54:45 AM1 trades$80 min
5/12/2025, 6:11:36 AM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 12:02:52 PM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 3:33:46 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 8:06:02 AM1 trades$50 min
5/7/2025, 8:15:45 AM1 trades$50 min
5/7/2025, 2:49:43 PM1 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
12-23
04-02
04-10
04-30
05-12
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M24.2 / H60.6