@carv

#133,96536

0x9de369c12d53c7a9c13e11053d1ab64110db4a97

~43d· 53 markets · 206 tradesVol: $126,189 @MichaelWon608412026-10-08 03:44:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (36/53)19/20
0.28x (win $1,188 / loss $4,236)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3400/15
Sortino -3.4730/10
$-0.2728 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1163 (53 markets)6.7/10
25/35 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 417% of peak ($4,016 / $964)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+343
Consistent
25/35 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,617,764$-49Vol: $93,492
🏛️ POLITICS#1,554,677$-131Vol: $8,008
₿ CRYPTO#314,384$3Vol: $428
💰 FINANCE#144,282$1Vol: $328
📈 ECONOMICS#95,922$2Vol: $218
🎭 CULTURE#727,157$-18Vol: $156
🌤️ WEATHER#21,485$11Vol: $75
💻 TECH#41,413$1Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$343
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$126,189
Total Redeem
$31
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
141B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $113
All Time
$343
Vol: $126,189

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
35W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$343
Win Rate
67%
35W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-265

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,141 (3.3269853305724877% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?$1,017
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?$71
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL$53
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?$10
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$7
Will FlyQuest win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?$7
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$3
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2

Top Losers

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$-2,439
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$-1,510
US government shutdown by October 1?$-84
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-55
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A$-50
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-47
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$-20
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?$-12
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.172
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
1055
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.269
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
67.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2132s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.4%
High (>55c)52.5%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2025, 10:16:50 AM4 trades$1,8613 min
10/31/2024, 8:04:18 AM3 trades$1,7913 min
7/11/2026, 9:33:58 AM5 trades$1,2160 min
10/26/2024, 12:28:49 AM7 trades$7284 min
7/18/2025, 9:11:30 AM1 trades$6990 min
10/25/2024, 11:49:23 AM1 trades$6600 min
7/11/2026, 1:50:29 PM1 trades$5420 min
10/30/2024, 1:43:24 AM1 trades$5070 min
10/31/2024, 12:47:54 AM4 trades$4730 min
10/24/2024, 1:42:10 AM2 trades$4590 min
10/28/2024, 12:17:54 PM1 trades$4020 min
10/28/2024, 8:08:44 AM4 trades$3980 min
10/23/2024, 1:27:34 PM1 trades$3720 min
7/8/2026, 9:05:16 PM1 trades$3620 min
10/24/2024, 1:35:20 AM3 trades$3560 min
10/24/2024, 1:00:37 PM1 trades$3400 min
10/24/2024, 5:22:33 PM1 trades$3400 min
7/8/2026, 5:53:47 PM1 trades$3100 min
7/9/2026, 1:25:10 AM1 trades$3050 min
7/9/2026, 10:22:11 AM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
11-21
06-19
09-27
01-22
05-15
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 319 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.1 / M23.4 / H52.5