@cashy

#36997

0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f

~552d· 854 markets · 14896 tradesVol: $13,568,764 @cashyPoly2026-08-02 08:50:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (615/835)20/20
3.64x (win $875,105 / loss $240,212)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.49115/15
Sortino 11.04810/10
$+0.1460 per $1 invested7.3/10
HHI 100 (835 markets)10/10
263/353 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($42,551 / $634,893)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+545,334
DCA Master
Avg 16.3 entries/market
Whale
$4,349,409 invested
Consistent
263/353 profitable days
High Roller
$6,406/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#100$495,942Vol: $11,560,127
🎭 CULTURE#172$44,708Vol: $1,317,071
📈 ECONOMICS#1,569$2,842Vol: $244,694
SPORTS#1,837,393$-1,269Vol: $180,033
CRYPTO#16,724$2,610Vol: $147,783
💻 TECH#1,521$890Vol: $77,193
💰 FINANCE#30,737$36Vol: $17,414
🌤️ WEATHER#294,257$-431Vol: $7,377
📢 MENTIONS#16,750$14Vol: $1,361

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$544,830
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,568,764
Total Redeem
$133,353
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
854
total markets
Trades
8169B / 6727S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~552d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5,333
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,772
Vol: $0
Month
$-6,953
Vol: $47,569
All Time
$544,830
Vol: $13,568,764

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
615W / 220L events
Realized PnL
$545,334
Win Rate
74%
615W / 220L
Profit Factor
3.64x
Avg Win
$1,423
Avg Loss
$-1,102

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $205,986 (0.3777256046156996% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$105,069
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$69,587
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$31,330
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$21,594
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$21,333
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$18,024
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$16,561
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$16,474
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?$16,281
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$14,350

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-27,612
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-25,695
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$-19,517
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-11,668
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-11,269
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-10,072
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$-9,400
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-7,680
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?$-6,751
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$-5,871

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.182
Sortino
0.307
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.150
Kelly %
21.1%
Half-Kelly
10.5%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
13.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)58.9%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 5:43:31 AM12 trades$111,1103 min
2/28/2026, 8:02:27 AM25 trades$103,66418 min
2/28/2026, 6:13:55 AM60 trades$72,96819 min
4/3/2026, 3:21:13 PM41 trades$61,9655 min
2/28/2026, 9:36:09 PM12 trades$51,6265 min
3/11/2026, 11:03:53 AM20 trades$50,51815 min
2/28/2026, 7:29:15 PM16 trades$50,4834 min
3/4/2026, 6:24:41 PM1 trades$49,9500 min
6/13/2025, 1:16:51 PM43 trades$47,11716 min
6/14/2026, 8:34:31 PM77 trades$46,2903 min
2/28/2026, 6:39:49 AM22 trades$44,36520 min
2/18/2026, 10:57:40 AM1 trades$42,6660 min
4/28/2026, 1:26:18 PM14 trades$40,15212 min
2/28/2026, 1:22:01 PM21 trades$38,92517 min
3/1/2026, 1:31:19 AM1 trades$36,5170 min
4/3/2026, 12:39:25 PM65 trades$35,8073 min
2/28/2026, 6:49:51 PM21 trades$35,8025 min
6/14/2026, 8:09:18 PM30 trades$31,5690 min
7/24/2025, 1:29:44 PM10 trades$31,2561 min
8/1/2026, 7:06:23 PM46 trades$30,8643 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-26
02-07
06-16
10-29
12-30
03-11
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.7 / M22.4 / H58.9