@casonphilips
#235,812470x251de8f41de126ccab7915e4f7c79b230effd87e
~28d· 27 markets · 57 tradesVol: $15,0922026-09-21 20:10:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
17% (4/23)0/20
1.98x (win $298 / loss $150)14.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.79915/15
Sortino 5.48710/10
$+0.0172 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1493 (23 markets)5/10
4/23 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($104 / $165)1.4/10
Badges
1Profitable
PnL $+100
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,245,789$-9Vol: $11,822
⚽ SPORTS#115,725$107Vol: $3,250
₿ CRYPTO#687,415$-0Vol: $10
🎭 CULTURE#377,091$-0Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$98
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,092
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
33B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
Periods
#2Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$98
Vol: $15,092
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$100
Win Rate
17%
4W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.98x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $287 (2.8742113169754635% of PnL)
Top Winners
South Florida vs. San José State$149
Hawks vs. Spurs$101
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$38
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3$11
Top Losers
Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets$-104
Dolphins vs. Patriots$-25
Chargers vs. Raiders$-7
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$-4
MLB All-Star Game$-4
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$-4
West Ham United wins the Premier League?$-1
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.143
Sortino
0.268
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.302
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17270s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)51.5%
Sessions
#128/15/2026, 10:54:58 AM8 trades$2,0362 min
8/14/2026, 4:08:10 PM4 trades$2,0242 min
8/15/2026, 9:07:03 AM2 trades$1,0200 min
8/15/2026, 1:25:37 PM2 trades$1,0160 min
8/13/2026, 4:06:22 PM2 trades$1,0130 min
8/14/2026, 6:49:36 PM2 trades$1,0110 min
12/19/2024, 9:59:02 AM1 trades$1230 min
12/23/2024, 2:59:18 AM1 trades$1040 min
12/24/2024, 12:07:54 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/13/2024, 11:13:12 AM2 trades$614 min
10/6/2024, 1:56:17 PM1 trades$250 min
10/4/2024, 8:02:13 AM1 trades$160 min
9/15/2025, 6:47:18 AM1 trades$70 min
4/23/2025, 2:36:16 AM1 trades$50 min
4/23/2025, 7:26:00 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 3:57:00 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 8:02:12 AM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 8:01:29 AM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 12:28:15 PM1 trades$50 min
4/10/2025, 7:33:32 AM1 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
12-16
12-24
04-02
04-10
04-30
05-12
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M33.3 / H51.5