@chaosj89
#190,190710xf08522edfa721400b9cf7710b93e91c6386202af
~55d· 1658 markets · 4072 tradesVol: $114,0362026-10-08 04:29:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
93% (1517/1631)20/20
1.28x (win $334 / loss $260)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.94715/15
Sortino 2.19310/10
$+0.0022 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 42 (1631 markets)10/10
43/55 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($94 / $79)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+76
Consistent
43/55 profitable days
Win Streak
104 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#111,486$116Vol: $68,119
🎭 CULTURE#89,991$5Vol: $8,402
₿ CRYPTO#119,992$49Vol: $7,956
💰 FINANCE#596,908$-16Vol: $5,771
📢 MENTIONS#16,303$16Vol: $4,055
🏛️ POLITICS#163,379$12Vol: $3,650
📈 ECONOMICS#75,625$3Vol: $1,754
💻 TECH#39,424$2Vol: $525
🌤️ WEATHER#50,451$1Vol: $334
Overview
#1Net PnL
$153
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,036
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1658
total markets
Trades
2158B / 1914S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$17
Vol: $783
Month
$1
Vol: $2,618
All Time
$153
Vol: $114,036
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
93%
1515W / 114L events
Realized PnL
$76
Win Rate
93%
1515W / 114L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (0.37058590133580216% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11AM ET$9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11AM ET$7
Londrina EC vs. Botafogo FC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5$6
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9AM ET$5
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?$4
Top Losers
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner$-86
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5AM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9AM ET$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$-9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.101
Sortino
0.060
HHI
46
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
9.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.2
Active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.8m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.9
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active5.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)6.9%
High (>55c)92.1%
Sessions
#127/20/2026, 10:35:12 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
7/18/2026, 10:04:13 AM102 trades$1,3322 min
7/18/2026, 2:31:09 AM47 trades$5324 min
8/2/2026, 4:46:32 AM37 trades$5101 min
7/20/2026, 10:24:15 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/19/2026, 10:17:22 PM43 trades$48011 min
7/24/2026, 8:36:10 PM69 trades$4335 min
7/25/2026, 1:27:43 AM2 trades$4070 min
7/13/2026, 2:39:56 PM2 trades$3580 min
8/1/2026, 4:58:17 PM22 trades$34910 min
7/24/2026, 8:58:00 PM40 trades$3314 min
7/25/2026, 4:54:18 PM49 trades$3266 min
7/14/2026, 3:11:08 AM2 trades$3000 min
7/24/2026, 6:24:00 PM43 trades$2938 min
7/20/2026, 12:03:30 AM21 trades$2895 min
7/12/2026, 9:31:26 PM42 trades$2781 min
7/24/2026, 3:16:24 PM19 trades$2394 min
7/25/2026, 4:05:15 AM38 trades$2385 min
7/24/2026, 6:52:31 PM37 trades$2359 min
8/1/2026, 3:57:38 PM36 trades$2289 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-29
10-08
10-17
10-26
07-15
07-24
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 260 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M6.9 / H92.1