@chefradish

#3,063,10924

0xd1eed20edd22a289839379e89e3470ea1742a8ae

~310d· 751 markets · 7369 tradesVol: $4,089,8832026-08-01 19:33:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (334/659)10.3/20
0.27x (win $23,151 / loss $84,247)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3620/15
Sortino -3.3560/10
$-0.1869 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 224 (659 markets)10/10
97/221 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($61,096 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$326,804 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,515$-10,797Vol: $2,778,835
💰 FINANCE#574$9,644Vol: $699,729
CRYPTO#1,671,653$-20,608Vol: $329,030
📈 ECONOMICS#1,150$4,379Vol: $111,312
SPORTS#77,364$264Vol: $75,693
🎭 CULTURE#816,591$-4,105Vol: $47,532
🌤️ WEATHER#4,137$263Vol: $19,281
💻 TECH#246,903$-84Vol: $5,426
📢 MENTIONS#36,274$2Vol: $326

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,785
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,089,883
Total Redeem
$766
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
751
total markets
Trades
3717B / 3652S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~310d

Periods

#2
Today
$284
Vol: $7,633
Week
$4,379
Vol: $123,623
Month
$284
Vol: $7,633
All Time
$-20,785
Vol: $4,089,883

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
51%
334W / 325L events
Realized PnL
$-20,796
Win Rate
51%
334W / 325L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-267

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,092 (0.24485367060510518% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$2,042
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?$1,699
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?$1,351
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$853
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?$759
2024 July hottest on record?$662
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$504
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$501
SOLETH above 0.058 on September 30?$471
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$425

Top Losers

Solana above $145 on August 30?$-14,216
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-11,899
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-6,503
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-4,517
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-3,620
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-3,530
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?$-3,414
Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30?$-3,247
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$-1,905
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?$-1,610

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
181
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.213
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 426s — normal for humanCV 4.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)54.2%

Sessions

#12
8/27/2024, 6:45:25 PM1 trades$17,2050 min
8/27/2024, 3:02:55 PM5 trades$17,2047 min
8/23/2024, 2:59:22 PM2 trades$10,0001 min
8/23/2024, 3:05:18 PM2 trades$10,0002 min
8/26/2024, 12:40:50 AM4 trades$8,0265 min
6/12/2026, 2:49:36 PM43 trades$7,7192 min
8/1/2026, 1:01:51 AM22 trades$6,8491 min
8/28/2024, 8:50:14 PM2 trades$6,8462 min
7/20/2026, 9:15:39 PM10 trades$6,3120 min
7/31/2026, 9:22:57 PM44 trades$6,0199 min
8/26/2024, 4:45:41 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
7/16/2026, 10:14:35 PM27 trades$5,90610 min
11/13/2024, 10:09:03 PM2 trades$5,4281 min
7/30/2026, 8:38:26 PM48 trades$5,0244 min
3/8/2026, 6:58:23 AM8 trades$5,0237 min
8/24/2024, 3:36:15 AM1 trades$4,9990 min
3/8/2026, 5:23:23 AM15 trades$4,48517 min
8/26/2024, 10:31:59 PM1 trades$4,2750 min
7/20/2026, 12:07:06 AM6 trades$4,2680 min
4/30/2026, 4:32:50 PM19 trades$4,1552 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
10-15
10-02
11-26
03-09
05-22
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.3 / M13.5 / H54.2