chega

@chega

#2,351,0402

0x48e6bb52a0c1fe9475afa6039eeb8f8f7aea1869

~23d· 119 markets · 532 tradesVol: $20,6412026-08-26 09:58:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (30/117)0/20
0.70x (win $103 / loss $146)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3660/15
Sortino -5.2230/10
$-0.1387 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3608 (117 markets)0/10
8/22 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 536% of peak ($76 / $14)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,395,629$-46Vol: $18,069
⚽ SPORTS#342,765$5Vol: $1,076
🎭 CULTURE#531,818$-1Vol: $1,000
📈 ECONOMICS#486,349$-1Vol: $340
🏛️ POLITICS#965,350$-2Vol: $136
💰 FINANCE#470,195$-1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-46
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,641
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
378B / 154S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $39
Month
$-6
Vol: $272
All Time
$-46
Vol: $20,641

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
30W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-45
Win Rate
26%
30W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (1.1944880125476136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$19
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$18
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$16
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$12
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5
Solana Up or Down on January 9?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?$3
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down on January 7?$-10
Solana Up or Down on January 10?$-6
Ethereum Up or Down on January 11?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$-5
XRP Up or Down on January 8?$-5
XRP Up or Down on January 7?$-5
Solana Up or Down on January 11?$-4
Ethereum Up or Down on January 10?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?$-4
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.223
Sortino
-0.313
HHI
210
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)12.4%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 9:11:30 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/17/2026, 7:54:44 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/16/2026, 6:03:13 PM2 trades$500 min
6/12/2026, 9:42:00 PM8 trades$296 min
7/1/2026, 6:45:58 AM6 trades$155 min
6/28/2026, 3:07:11 PM4 trades$142 min
1/6/2026, 2:01:03 PM15 trades$1320 min
1/7/2026, 9:18:27 AM6 trades$107 min
1/8/2026, 9:41:43 AM3 trades$91 min
6/13/2026, 7:37:57 AM4 trades$90 min
1/7/2026, 5:02:07 PM7 trades$93 min
8/6/2026, 3:04:30 PM3 trades$80 min
1/8/2026, 12:02:15 AM6 trades$89 min
1/20/2026, 12:42:56 PM6 trades$813 min
1/11/2026, 6:29:28 AM8 trades$88 min
6/13/2026, 5:06:36 PM6 trades$83 min
1/7/2026, 2:02:59 PM4 trades$89 min
1/11/2026, 8:40:10 AM11 trades$813 min
6/13/2026, 4:58:34 PM4 trades$80 min
1/7/2026, 11:14:35 PM7 trades$815 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-09
01-12
01-20
06-13
06-17
06-28
08-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 161 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.7 / M28.8 / H12.4