@chilloutTt

#3,067,58418

0x4d70984ff9a047d283888fceb207df3e76782698

~135d· 114 markets · 1392 tradesVol: $1,817,1942026-08-04 14:38:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (47/113)5.8/20
0.68x (win $76,561 / loss $113,138)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3460/15
Sortino -1.6250/10
$-0.0781 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 419 (113 markets)10/10
29/77 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($48,255 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Whale
$468,416 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,964$22,194Vol: $640,825
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,619$-58,914Vol: $625,280
🎭 CULTURE#319$24,384Vol: $262,397
SPORTS#1,875,147$-7,627Vol: $236,758
📈 ECONOMICS#594,916$-9Vol: $29,733
💰 FINANCE#657,071$-3,100Vol: $20,200
💻 TECH#253,180$-209Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,281
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,817,194
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
515B / 877S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $36,004
Month
$517
Vol: $37,723
All Time
$-23,281
Vol: $1,817,194

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
47W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$-23,294
Win Rate
42%
47W / 66L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$1,629
Avg Loss
$-1,951

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,699 (2.004772097567844% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$29,521
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?$11,351
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?$5,826
XRP above $2.10 on June 27?$5,698
XRP Up or Down on June 16?$4,116
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3,098
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$1,942
XRP above $2.10 on June 20?$1,844
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1,805
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$1,366

Top Losers

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$-32,955
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21,256
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$-9,051
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-7,450
US military action against Iran before July?$-5,040
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 15 at 5 PM ET?$-4,463
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?$-3,262
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-3,238
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$-3,100
Yoon reinstated as President before July?$-2,854

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
348
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
33.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 406s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)55.7%
High (>55c)33%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 10:00:21 PM24 trades$68,1073 min
7/15/2026, 8:43:05 PM65 trades$39,88914 min
8/2/2026, 5:39:21 PM6 trades$26,3940 min
9/18/2025, 10:26:14 AM4 trades$25,3967 min
8/2/2026, 9:43:26 PM22 trades$19,8860 min
7/15/2026, 5:20:02 AM8 trades$17,8250 min
6/26/2025, 10:13:19 AM1 trades$17,6470 min
6/8/2025, 9:01:21 PM4 trades$13,6314 min
6/13/2025, 6:22:43 PM2 trades$12,7763 min
6/14/2026, 4:24:13 AM9 trades$11,6820 min
5/31/2025, 3:08:44 PM1 trades$11,1030 min
9/18/2025, 9:19:00 AM4 trades$10,9963 min
6/15/2025, 7:44:10 PM2 trades$10,9605 min
5/26/2025, 12:38:45 PM1 trades$10,0380 min
6/23/2025, 6:20:39 PM1 trades$10,0190 min
4/3/2026, 4:06:29 PM2 trades$10,0010 min
6/18/2025, 1:19:18 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
9/18/2025, 10:43:58 AM1 trades$9,7420 min
7/15/2026, 8:03:46 AM2 trades$9,5440 min
6/16/2025, 2:21:13 PM45 trades$8,97736 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
05-12
06-12
07-19
01-23
06-14
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.05/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.3 / M55.7 / H33