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classified

@classified

#20292

0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8

480d· 1155 markets · 53173 tradesVol: $84,849,7812026-06-27T08:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 8.80x15/15
Sharpe 0.3587/15
Sortino 2.01410/10
EV $+6.59710/10
HHI 27210/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Classified is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #202 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $833,559.92. Over 610 days, they executed 53,173 trades across 214 markets, accumulating a total trading volume of nearly $85 million. Their portfolio value stands at $322,033.66, and they hold an elite Smart Score of 92/100, reflecting strong overall performance.

Their trading style appears diverse yet contrarian, as suggested by badges like "Contrarian" and "Sniper." Classified maintains a moderate sell percentage of 43% and has a relatively low win rate of 25.9%, indicating a high-risk, high-reward approach possibly involving frequent speculative bets. The profit factor of 0.11 and Sharpe ratio of 0.36 show modest risk-adjusted returns, while their semi-bot score (55/100) suggests a combination of automated and manual trading tactics. Classified avoids weather markets entirely, focusing on other event types.

Key strengths include an upward equity trend and zero days of max drawdown duration, highlighting disciplined risk management and resilience. However, the low profit factor and win rate could signal volatility in returns and potential exposure to losing streaks. Classified’s mix of manual and bot trading, combined with a contrarian edge, positions them well on Polymarket but also carries inherent risk from aggressive timing and market selection.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+833,560
Lottery Player
32% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$11,141,821
Consistent
65/70 days
High Roller
$18,265/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#77$567,597Vol: $67,317,131
📈 ECONOMICS#25$212,852Vol: $7,354,375
🎭 CULTURE#248$31,160Vol: $4,753,852
₿ CRYPTO#4,301$10,920Vol: $2,121,847
⚽ SPORTS#1,724,681$-1,449Vol: $1,857,851
💰 FINANCE#550$9,534Vol: $713,357
💻 TECH#655$2,466Vol: $462,431
📢 MENTIONS#2,473$410Vol: $259,037
🌤️ WEATHER#13,256$26Vol: $744

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$833,560
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,849,781
Total Redeem
$112,433
Portfolio
$322,034
Predictions
1155
total markets
Trades
30288B / 22885S
Daily Volume
$18,265
Account Age
480d
since Mar 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$-407
Vol: $25,433
Month
$78,000
Vol: $4,457,982
All Time
$833,560
Vol: $84,849,781

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
125W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$3,100,266
Win Rate
26%
48W / 137L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$10,401
Avg Loss
$-33,078

Top Winners

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$88,296
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$77,133
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$61,656
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$61,440
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$45,712
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$20,999
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$16,921
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$15,796
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$14,611
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$11,003

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-1,209,009
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-507,347
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$-405,039
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-282,349
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-101,613
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-90,543
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$-83,558
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-79,037
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-76,185
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-69,035

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.358
Sortino
2.014
HHI
272
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.598
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
117.7
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.2m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — typical for humanSize CV 5.15 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness118 trades/day — automation310 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
141.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
7 entries
<=2
14 entries
<=5
26 entries
<=10
35 entries
<=20
51 entries
<=50
89 entries
>50
125 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)44.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 33.3%

Paris$-478
Netanyahu$-9,148
New York City$-916,866
Other$-3,105,948

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
98

Moderate coverage

<=1
68 brackets
<=2
78 brackets
<=3
86 brackets
<=4
88 brackets
<=5
93 brackets
<=8
94 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/1/2025, 1:45:03 AM4 trades$2,0701 min
4/1/2025, 5:31:34 AM1 trades$3400 min
4/1/2025, 9:09:22 AM2 trades$7003 min
4/1/2025, 9:47:38 AM1 trades$6400 min
4/1/2025, 10:35:55 AM1 trades$6500 min
4/1/2025, 12:41:51 PM2 trades$6680 min
4/2/2025, 11:15:19 AM1 trades$6600 min
4/2/2025, 12:22:55 PM1 trades$4520 min
4/2/2025, 12:42:11 PM1 trades$6600 min
4/2/2025, 6:36:50 PM1 trades$7300 min
4/3/2025, 10:34:48 AM1 trades$7200 min
4/3/2025, 11:02:42 AM1 trades$7200 min
4/3/2025, 12:54:54 PM1 trades$3500 min
4/3/2025, 1:15:10 PM1 trades$160 min
4/3/2025, 1:25:34 PM2 trades$3442 min
4/3/2025, 8:38:56 PM2 trades$3,5264 min
4/3/2025, 8:54:42 PM1 trades$4810 min
4/3/2025, 10:12:12 PM2 trades$1,1404 min
4/3/2025, 10:21:52 PM1 trades$7500 min
7/11/2025, 8:57:34 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-15
10-24
12-07
04-22
05-28
08-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 141.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event