@commentatordp

#4,85193

0x20bd2dfcd3412caa5bba38e06cf46d9499ee4845

~146d· 131 markets · 1571 tradesVol: $1,592,5982026-09-21 19:42:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (112/127)20/20
4.12x (win $62,210 / loss $15,082)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.23515/15
Sortino 15.40610/10
$+0.0517 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 254 (127 markets)10/10
57/67 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($5,217 / $47,128)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+42,408
DCA Master
Avg 14.1 entries/market
Whale
$912,227 invested
Consistent
57/67 profitable days
High Roller
$2,182/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,100$34,604Vol: $1,592,598

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$34,604
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,592,598
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
131
total markets
Trades
781B / 790S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d

Periods

#2
Today
$-965
Vol: $0
Week
$-898
Vol: $0
Month
$-5,592
Vol: $30,555
All Time
$34,604
Vol: $1,592,598

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
112W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$42,408
Win Rate
88%
112W / 15L
Profit Factor
4.12x
Avg Win
$555
Avg Loss
$-1,077

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,144 (0.451436672379463% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$6,952
Solana all time high before 2026?$6,104
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$6,089
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$3,279
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$2,140
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$2,071
Will XRP reach $4.50 in August?$1,863
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1,821
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?$1,727
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$1,622

Top Losers

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-5,035
Ethereum all time high before 2026?$-5,020
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-1,938
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$-788
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$-667
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$-464
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?$-309
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$-287

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
0.349
HHI
303
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
61.5%
Half-Kelly
30.7%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.9%

Sessions

#12
11/8/2025, 9:16:17 PM15 trades$31,58523 min
2/6/2026, 1:24:17 PM38 trades$28,63344 min
12/8/2025, 3:33:55 PM13 trades$21,63611 min
4/8/2026, 3:23:09 AM19 trades$21,5114 min
2/6/2026, 4:33:49 PM42 trades$21,44148 min
12/1/2025, 7:33:02 AM16 trades$20,93824 min
4/4/2026, 9:23:49 PM31 trades$19,2694 min
6/12/2026, 6:35:22 PM6 trades$18,3134 min
6/12/2026, 6:46:27 PM33 trades$17,8049 min
2/11/2026, 1:35:21 PM10 trades$17,0299 min
9/26/2025, 2:41:24 AM6 trades$16,6289 min
3/10/2026, 11:27:23 AM5 trades$15,9618 min
12/11/2025, 10:56:09 AM6 trades$15,25611 min
2/12/2026, 5:07:47 PM3 trades$15,0986 min
2/11/2026, 8:55:45 PM5 trades$14,8265 min
12/3/2025, 4:56:01 PM8 trades$14,6556 min
2/11/2026, 9:09:17 PM16 trades$14,43218 min
11/21/2025, 10:25:11 AM6 trades$14,14012 min
9/25/2025, 10:57:28 AM4 trades$13,0178 min
2/9/2026, 5:07:49 AM24 trades$12,77020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
09-26
12-08
02-06
03-09
04-05
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0 / H99.9