@convictiontrap
#2,418,741330x1ad9a2f348eaa6b6326af9c1fea382dd455e7bf6
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (98/208)8.6/20
1.09x (win $29,192 / loss $26,739)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2264.2/15
Sortino 0.3313.3/10
$+0.0216 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 1222 (208 markets)6.4/10
45/84 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 521% of peak ($18,534 / $3,558)0/10
Badges
7Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
DCA Master
Avg 59.4 entries/market
Whale
$113,432 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders
Categories
8📈 ECONOMICS#1,412$3,303Vol: $5,798,783
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,740$-1,916Vol: $103,491
₿ CRYPTO#1,597,061$-579Vol: $68,821
💰 FINANCE#651,304$-594Vol: $7,913
🎭 CULTURE#809,885$-885Vol: $4,203
💻 TECH#5,189$130Vol: $3,971
⚽ SPORTS#469,176$0Vol: $539
🌤️ WEATHER#235,555$-7Vol: $43
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,004,247
Total Redeem
$109
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
228
total markets
Trades
11471B / 1086S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~202d
Periods
#2Today
$4
Vol: $645
Week
$-3
Vol: $3,718
Month
$33
Vol: $4,413
All Time
$-62
Vol: $6,004,247
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
98W / 110L events
Realized PnL
$-62
Win Rate
47%
98W / 110L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$298
Avg Loss
$-243
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,783 (303.489093553078% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$14,007
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$2,735
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2,040
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$1,333
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$1,135
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1,001
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$646
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$483
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$399
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$374
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-15,277
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?$-1,105
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$-1,094
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?$-1,010
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-747
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$-657
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$-500
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$-426
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-351
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-330
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.012
HHI
1061
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.5%
Top-5 markets
51.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.1m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 7.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
59.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)90.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.5%
High (>55c)5.9%
Sessions
#127/29/2026, 5:55:45 PM9 trades$3,3745 min
5/20/2026, 8:28:52 AM19 trades$3,0450 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:55 PM3 trades$2,7591 min
5/27/2026, 4:56:53 PM3 trades$2,2182 min
1/29/2026, 6:15:24 PM3 trades$2,2004 min
7/13/2026, 11:29:35 PM1 trades$1,8950 min
7/14/2026, 6:41:23 AM13 trades$1,86116 min
1/29/2026, 9:42:12 AM1 trades$1,6870 min
7/13/2026, 7:50:29 PM8 trades$1,5513 min
2/12/2026, 2:23:11 PM1 trades$1,2660 min
2/9/2026, 2:04:15 AM1 trades$1,2580 min
7/14/2026, 9:52:56 AM1 trades$1,2380 min
8/3/2026, 8:16:24 PM1 trades$1,2380 min
7/14/2026, 8:52:04 AM2 trades$1,2330 min
7/14/2026, 7:16:14 AM2 trades$1,2300 min
2/28/2026, 10:52:17 PM5 trades$1,1677 min
7/31/2026, 8:52:33 PM1 trades$1,1510 min
7/2/2026, 5:48:01 PM1 trades$1,0980 min
7/7/2026, 6:50:22 PM1 trades$1,0780 min
1/21/2026, 9:52:02 AM2 trades$1,0741 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-19
01-27
03-04
03-25
05-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 115 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 59.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.6 / M3.5 / H5.9