cqk

@cqk

#3,49462

0x736539924a5602b37a03a54fc12c1cc8f98964da

~294d· 739 markets · 15901 tradesVol: $2,490,4122026-08-01 23:11:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (350/646)12.1/20
1.27x (win $125,494 / loss $98,785)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.97315/15
Sortino 1.92710/10
$+0.0413 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 87 (646 markets)10/10
121/212 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($27,650 / $26,709)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+50,529
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 21.3 entries/market
Whale
$647,448 invested
High Roller
$2,062/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#177$24,148Vol: $1,243,001
💻 TECH#80$19,508Vol: $763,138
🏛️ POLITICS#4,656$7,676Vol: $415,397
📈 ECONOMICS#676,380$-687Vol: $42,785
🎭 CULTURE#11,445$278Vol: $11,433
SPORTS#1,789,414$-459Vol: $5,556
📢 MENTIONS#2,378$450Vol: $3,371
CRYPTO#1,311,896$-28Vol: $2,385

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$50,881
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,490,412
Total Redeem
$1,815
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
739
total markets
Trades
8290B / 7611S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~294d

Periods

#2
Today
$866
Vol: $7,618
Week
$5,107
Vol: $139,636
Month
$866
Vol: $7,618
All Time
$50,881
Vol: $2,490,412

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
350W / 296L events
Realized PnL
$50,529
Win Rate
54%
350W / 296L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$359
Avg Loss
$-345

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,858 (0.689851923771873% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$20,563
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$8,577
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5,718
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$5,162
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?$3,949
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$3,745
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$3,398
James Comey arrested by April 29?$3,092
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,676
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$2,585

Top Losers

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$-8,039
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-7,343
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-6,242
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-5,896
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-4,624
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-3,985
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$-3,825
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-3,805
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-3,390
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$-3,322

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.072
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 441s — normal for humanCV 3.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock51 trades/day — mass trading2.4 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)43.1%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 6:21:40 PM1105 trades$23,8591 min
5/14/2026, 11:09:40 PM45 trades$11,28711 min
7/27/2026, 3:32:09 PM2 trades$11,2730 min
7/30/2026, 11:03:21 PM57 trades$10,8715 min
3/31/2026, 8:21:43 PM259 trades$10,0253 min
4/29/2026, 4:57:44 PM13 trades$9,5077 min
6/24/2026, 5:24:02 PM2 trades$8,7780 min
7/27/2026, 9:53:16 PM11 trades$8,5512 min
4/27/2026, 5:50:56 PM26 trades$8,4936 min
4/24/2026, 3:06:58 AM83 trades$7,58818 min
7/7/2026, 5:40:04 PM32 trades$7,37320 min
4/7/2026, 11:59:05 PM57 trades$7,2679 min
5/30/2026, 10:18:03 AM20 trades$7,1710 min
4/11/2026, 1:13:07 PM26 trades$6,8924 min
5/1/2026, 1:41:18 AM4 trades$6,8451 min
6/14/2026, 9:41:13 PM16 trades$6,4911 min
7/8/2026, 3:56:53 PM35 trades$6,1957 min
7/14/2026, 5:40:22 PM40 trades$6,17211 min
5/28/2026, 4:59:45 PM13 trades$6,03512 min
4/11/2026, 12:43:09 PM33 trades$5,8266 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-22
12-06
01-31
03-15
05-01
06-10
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37 / M20 / H43.1