@criollo2

#2,916,84373

0xc0b948bed28356622ebcce46f9060bb713134fa7

~83d· 84 markets · 932 tradesVol: $159,884 @jo_han19852026-08-04 20:05:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (16/33)9.2/20
3.17x (win $7,757 / loss $2,445)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.23915/15
Sortino 27.08410/10
$+0.0777 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 1562 (33 markets)4.7/10
14/27 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($1,020 / $5,313)10/10

Badges

7
Diamond Hands
9% sells
DCA Master
Avg 17.4 entries/market
Whale
$68,357 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,656$-360Vol: $60,481
CRYPTO#1,482,461$-109Vol: $34,059
📈 ECONOMICS#668,133$-194Vol: $30,965
🎭 CULTURE#791,998$-169Vol: $13,526
💰 FINANCE#115,336$2Vol: $10,687
SPORTS#1,330,839$-9Vol: $7,117
💻 TECH#248,311$-91Vol: $1,847
🌤️ WEATHER#34,151$4Vol: $1,086

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-927
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$159,884
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
845B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-108
Vol: $2,490
Week
$-180
Vol: $9,826
Month
$-114
Vol: $14,197
All Time
$-927
Vol: $159,884

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
15W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-927
Win Rate
47%
15W / 17L
Profit Factor
3.17x
Avg Win
$485
Avg Loss
$-163

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,788 (5.163634599001413% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3,172
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$879
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$738
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$705
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$641
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$449
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$240
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$231
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$226
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$205

Top Losers

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-459
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-394
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$-298
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-293
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-236
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-220
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-146
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-127
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-99
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.321
Sortino
1.375
HHI
176
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.238
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
22.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 870s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)69.6%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 1:38:14 AM8 trades$3,1910 min
7/2/2026, 2:07:56 AM6 trades$3,1414 min
6/28/2026, 4:59:53 PM12 trades$2,1631 min
7/9/2026, 4:07:58 PM3 trades$1,8030 min
7/31/2026, 8:25:03 AM2 trades$1,5525 min
7/10/2026, 10:21:11 PM2 trades$1,3400 min
7/22/2026, 10:33:40 AM2 trades$1,2624 min
7/23/2026, 9:44:51 PM1 trades$1,1270 min
7/23/2026, 9:40:33 AM1 trades$1,0840 min
7/9/2026, 3:13:32 PM2 trades$1,0770 min
7/25/2026, 1:37:01 AM3 trades$1,0573 min
7/2/2026, 12:37:08 PM4 trades$9724 min
7/2/2026, 1:17:35 PM9 trades$9641 min
7/22/2026, 1:00:21 PM1 trades$8650 min
7/24/2026, 12:36:58 AM1 trades$8510 min
8/3/2026, 8:16:17 PM1 trades$8470 min
8/1/2026, 11:45:57 PM2 trades$8024 min
7/8/2026, 1:38:02 PM6 trades$7759 min
7/22/2026, 1:20:33 AM8 trades$7702 min
7/14/2026, 10:37:17 PM2 trades$7671 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-04
05-08
05-14
06-10
06-23
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M29 / H69.6